Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 72.2% over the last 90 days (79 tips graded). In China Super League, our record stands at 83.3% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
72.2% on Over 2.580% probability83.3% in China Super League
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 57 wins from 79 settled tips (72.2%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 75.9%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Celje vs MuraOver 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 72.2% over the last 90 days (79 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
72.2% on Over 2.580% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 57 wins from 79 settled tips (72.2%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 75.9%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Levski Sofia vs Dunav Ruse1
Our model assigns a win probability of 60% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 75.2% over the last 90 days (282 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
75.2% on 160% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 212 wins from 282 settled tips (75.2%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 75.9%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 75.2% over the last 90 days (282 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
75.2% on 150% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 212 wins from 282 settled tips (75.2%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 75.9%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Beijing Guoan vs Liaoning Tieren1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 75.2% over the last 90 days (282 tips graded). In China Super League, our record stands at 83.3% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
75.2% on 150% probability83.3% in China Super League
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 212 wins from 282 settled tips (75.2%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 75.9%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
St Patricks vs Wexford1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 75.2% over the last 90 days (282 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
75.2% on 150% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 212 wins from 282 settled tips (75.2%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 75.9%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Flora vs Nomme Utd1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 75.2% over the last 90 days (282 tips graded). In Estonia Meistriliiga, our record stands at 50% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
75.2% on 150% probability50% in Estonia Meistriliiga
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 212 wins from 282 settled tips (75.2%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 75.9%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Haukar vs Throttur Vogar1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 75.2% over the last 90 days (282 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
75.2% on 150% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 212 wins from 282 settled tips (75.2%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 75.9%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (72.2%). No significant deviation either way. China Super League is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (83.3%). Provides additional support for this tip.
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (72.2%). No significant deviation either way.
At 60%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (75.2%). No significant deviation either way.
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (75.2%). No significant deviation either way.
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (75.2%). No significant deviation either way. China Super League is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (83.3%). Provides additional support for this tip.
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (75.2%). No significant deviation either way.
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (75.2%). No significant deviation either way. Estonia Meistriliiga has been a difficult competition in the historical record (50%). Factor this into your assessment.
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (75.2%). No significant deviation either way.
Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.
* Our proprietary E-A-T system evaluates team chemistry indexes, xG (Expected Goals) differentials, historical referee metrics, and live odds variance before outputting a confidence probability.
All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.
Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first
A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.
1avg 75.3% • range ±3%
Steady
76.3%0-30d
77.7%30-60d
71.8%60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
Over 2.5avg 72.8% • range ±4.4%
Steady
76.7%0-30d
67.9%30-60d
73.9%60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
2avg 80.3% • range ±6.6%
Variable
77.8%0-30d
75%30-60d
88.2%60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
1Xavg 79.9% • range ±8.4%
Variable
80%0-30d
88.2%30-60d
71.4%60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
Over 1.5avg 67.2% • range ±14.5%
Volatile
72.7%0-30d
78.9%30-60d
50%60-90d
Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.
Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).
Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days
Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.
1
1
Volume282 tips
Accuracy75.2%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG212W / 70L
2
Over 2.5
Volume79 tips
Accuracy72.2%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG57W / 22L
3
2
Volume58 tips
Accuracy79.3%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG46W / 12L
4
Over 1.5
Volume46 tips
Accuracy71.7%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG33W / 13L
5
1X
Volume39 tips
Accuracy79.5%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG31W / 8L
6
X2
Volume6 tips
Accuracy83.3%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
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