100 Sure Football Predictions

100 Sure Football Predictions


Mon, Feb 5, 2024

No predictions available for this date.

Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 1X
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, 1X tips have settled at 78.9% over the last 90 days (38 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.9% on 1X 90% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1X tips have returned 30 wins from 38 settled tips (78.9%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.2%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 71.7% over the last 90 days (46 tips graded). In UCL Qualifiers, our record stands at 80% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
71.7% on Over 1.5 90% probability 80% in UCL Qualifiers
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 33 wins from 46 settled tips (71.7%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 75.2%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Goteborg vs Levadia Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 71.7% over the last 90 days (46 tips graded). In Conference League Qualifier, our record stands at 80% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
71.7% on Over 1.5 90% probability 80% in Conference League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 33 wins from 46 settled tips (71.7%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 75.2%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Fenerbahce vs Gornik Zabrze Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 72.8% over the last 90 days (81 tips graded). In UCL Qualifiers, our record stands at 80% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
72.8% on Over 2.5 80% probability 80% in UCL Qualifiers
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 59 wins from 81 settled tips (72.8%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 75.2%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Fylkir vs Afturelding Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 72.8% over the last 90 days (81 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
72.8% on Over 2.5 80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 59 wins from 81 settled tips (72.8%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 75.2%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Mjallby vs Lincoln Red Imps 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 75.4% over the last 90 days (280 tips graded). In UCL Qualifiers, our record stands at 80% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
75.4% on 1 50% probability 80% in UCL Qualifiers
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 211 wins from 280 settled tips (75.4%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.2%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Santa Fe vs U. Magdalena 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 75.4% over the last 90 days (280 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
75.4% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 211 wins from 280 settled tips (75.4%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.2%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Today's Tips Ranked
Tue 21 Jul 2026 • by win probability
High Conf.
90%
prob
High Conf.
Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb
Over 1.5 UCL Qualifiers 7:00 pm
90%
prob
High Conf.
Goteborg vs Levadia
Over 1.5 Conference League Qualifier 6:00 pm
90%
prob
High Conf.
Fenerbahce vs Gornik Zabrze
Over 2.5 UCL Qualifiers 7:00 pm
80%
prob
High Conf.
Fylkir vs Afturelding
Over 2.5 Icelandic Cup 8:30 pm
80%
prob
Solid Pick
Mjallby vs Lincoln Red Imps
1 UCL Qualifiers 5:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Santa Fe vs U. Magdalena
1 Copa Colombia 9:00 pm
50%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Tuesday • site avg 75.2% • evidence-based
Strong case
Score: 82/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. 1X is running in line with the site average (78.9%). No significant deviation either way. Tuesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb
Over 1.5 UCL Qualifiers 7:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 81/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (71.7%). No significant deviation either way. Tuesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Goteborg vs Levadia
Over 1.5 Conference League Qualifier 6:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 81/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (71.7%). No significant deviation either way. Tuesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Fenerbahce vs Gornik Zabrze
Over 2.5 UCL Qualifiers 7:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 78/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (72.8%). No significant deviation either way. Tuesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Fylkir vs Afturelding
Over 2.5 Icelandic Cup 8:30 pm
Strong case
Score: 77/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (72.8%). No significant deviation either way. Tuesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Mjallby vs Lincoln Red Imps
1 UCL Qualifiers 5:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (75.4%). No significant deviation either way. Tuesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Santa Fe vs U. Magdalena
1 Copa Colombia 9:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (75.4%). No significant deviation either way. Tuesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.



Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 157 settled tips
75.2%
Excellent
Won (118) 75.2%
Lost (39) 24.8%
118W
39L
118
Won
39
Lost
157
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

30-Day Betting Yield (ROI)
-2.83%
Rolling Yield
-4.45 U
Profit (Flat 1U)

Data Processing Transparency
What our model analyzed today
Data Points
12,000+
Matches Scanned
140+
Active Tips
743

* Our proprietary E-A-T system evaluates team chemistry indexes, xG (Expected Goals) differentials, historical referee metrics, and live odds variance before outputting a confidence probability.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
90%
Accuracy
27
Won
3
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
18 Jul 2026Viking vs Sandefjord
Norway Eliteserien
1✓ Won
18 Jul 2026Marupe vs Metta
Latvia Nakotnes liga
2✓ Won
18 Jul 2026Athlone WFC W vs Bohemians WFC W
Ireland National League Women
1✓ Won
18 Jul 2026FC Slonim vs Isloch
Belarusian Cup
2✓ Won
18 Jul 2026Throttur vs Volsungor
Iceland Division 1
1✓ Won
18 Jul 2026FK Minija vs Jonava
Lithuania 1 Lyga
1✓ Won
18 Jul 2026Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers
Canadian Premier League
1✗ Lost
17 Jul 2026Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Port
China Super League
Over 2.5✓ Won
17 Jul 2026Celje vs Mura
Slovenia PRVA Liga
Over 2.5✓ Won
17 Jul 2026Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City
Ireland FA Cup
1✓ Won

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

1 avg 75.1% • range ±3%
Steady
75%
0-30d
78.1%
30-60d
72.2%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 2.5 avg 72.7% • range ±4.5%
Steady
78.1%
0-30d
70.8%
30-60d
69.2%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

2 avg 79.5% • range ±6.7%
Variable
73.3%
0-30d
78.6%
30-60d
86.7%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

1X avg 79% • range ±7.2%
Variable
80%
0-30d
85.7%
30-60d
71.4%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Over 1.5 avg 68.8% • range ±9.7%
Variable
72.7%
0-30d
76.5%
30-60d
57.1%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 280 tips
Accuracy 75.4%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 211W / 69L
2
Over 2.5
Volume 81 tips
Accuracy 72.8%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 59W / 22L
3
2
Volume 58 tips
Accuracy 79.3%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 46W / 12L
4
Over 1.5
Volume 46 tips
Accuracy 71.7%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 33W / 13L
5
1X
Volume 38 tips
Accuracy 78.9%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 30W / 8L
6
X2
Volume 6 tips
Accuracy 83.3%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 5W / 1L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Performance by Market
1X Top market
8W / 2L • 10 tips
80%
Over 2.5 Top market
25W / 7L • 32 tips
78.1%
1 Top market
57W / 19L • 76 tips
75%
2 Top market
11W / 4L • 15 tips
73.3%
Over 1.5 Top market
16W / 6L • 22 tips
72.7%
X2 Average
1W / 1L • 2 tips
50%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 66.7%100%
100%
recent
+33.3pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 75%100%
100%
recent
+25pp
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 80%100%
100%
recent
+20pp
China Super League
0%baseline 60%100%
66.7%
recent
+6.7pp
Argentina Primera Women
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
+0pp
Finland Veikkausliiga
0%baseline 80%100%
80%
recent
+0pp
World Cup 2026
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
+0pp
UCL Qualifiers
0%baseline 80%100%
75%
recent
-5pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 78% 86% 84% 73% 63% 74% 65% 75%
1X 83% 92% 71% 100% 71% 80% 83%
2 69% 82% 83% 78% 67% 79% 80% 77%
BTTS
Over 1.5 88% 75% 62% 74% 80% 100% 75%
Over 2.5 85% 71% 72% 76% 64% 73% 100% 74%
X2 67% 83%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

75.2%
30-day win rate
157 verified tips
89.2%
7-Day Rate
118
Tips Won
39
Tips Lost
157
Settled
Full Results →


See More Free Predictions


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