🏆 ✓ TIP WON Sabail 4-0 Shimal
⚡ Today's Best Picks for this Match
🎯 138%
🏆 Azerbaijan 1 Liqa 📅 Thursday, 16th April 2026
S
Sabail
L W D W W
4-0
FT
S
Shimal
L L D L W
Expert Prediction
Prediction Model
1
Backing Sabail to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.21
decimal
Confidence
38%
Value Play
H 50% D 30% A 20%
📈 Value Edge
-45%
Negative Edge
Our model gives this a 38% probability, while the current odds imply 83%. Bookmakers are pricing this higher than our model.
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⚔️ Head to Head
0
Sabail
1
Draws
1
Shimal
Against Sabail won 0 of the last 2 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Team Statistics
Sabail Shimal
1.3 Goals / Game 1.2
1 Conceded / Game 2.1
50% Clean Sheets 10%
4-3-3 W-D-L 3-1-6
Win Rate Comparison
40% 30%
📈 Form Ratings
Sabail
Overall
4.9
Scoring
4.3
Defence
6.7
Shimal
Overall
3.3
Scoring
4.0
Defence
3.0
🔀 Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 26%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 22%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 17%
Away Win & Under 2.5 17%
📜 Match History
Head to Head
24.12.25First Division
Sabail
3
Shimal
4
02.10.25First Division
Shimal
0
Sabail
0
Recent Results
Sabail
09.04.26First Division
Safa Baku
2
Sabail
1
L
02.04.26First Division
Sabail
1
Baku Sporting
0
W
18.03.26First Division
Sabail
2
MOIK Baku
2
D
12.03.26First Division
Mingachevir
0
Sabail
1
W
06.03.26First Division
Cebrayil
1
Sabail
4
W
24.02.26First Division
Sabail
0
Baku Sporting
0
D
18.02.26First Division
MOIK Baku
1
Sabail
0
L
12.02.26First Division
Sabail
0
Safa Baku
0
D
05.02.26First Division
Zaqatala
0
Sabail
1
W
24.12.25First Division
Sabail
3
Shimal
4
L
Shimal
09.04.26First Division
Shimal
0
Mingachevir
3
L
03.04.26First Division
Sahdag Qusar
1
Shimal
0
L
19.03.26First Division
Shimal
0
Zaqatala
0
D
11.03.26First Division
Shimal
0
Safa Baku
2
L
05.03.26First Division
Zaqatala
3
Shimal
4
W
24.02.26First Division
Shimal
3
Cebrayil
2
W
19.02.26First Division
Shimal
0
Sahdag Qusar
1
L
13.02.26First Division
Difai Agsu
3
Shimal
1
L
07.02.26First Division
Shimal
0
Mingachevir
3
L
24.12.25First Division
Sabail
3
Shimal
4
W
📝 Tactical Analysis

On Thursday, 16th April 2026, Sabail host Shimal in Azerbaijan 1 Liqa. Our analysis points to Sabail to win as the standout bet.

Sabail come into this showing mixed form, with 4W 3D 3L from 10 matches.

Shimal are struggling away — 3W 1D 6L in 10 games.

H2H: Sabail won 0 of 2 meetings vs Shimal's 1, 1 draws. BTTS in 50%.

With all factors considered, sabail to win at 1.21 represents the strongest value angle here.


Finding highly profitable betting chances means you have to sit down and crunch the numbers, and this Azerbaijan 1 Liqa fixture provides a fantastic opening for smart money. The secret to winning is to detach emotionally and focus entirely on the stats that actually matter. The hosts’ current profile is our first stop on the breakdown.

Their general form anchors the market, but the immediate form guide is where the real betting value lives. Breaking down their recent performances highlights their exact threat level and the defensive gaps they are showing today. The visitors offer their own statistical puzzle to solve.

It is essential to compare their extended form with the immediate spark shown in their last few games to establish if they are undervalued by the oddsmakers right now. Past head-to-heads provide another crucial layer of betting insight. The historical data frequently highlights recurring setups or psychological edges that disrupt standard pricing.

Merging these historical facts with current form generates a highly dependable pick that you can trust. After assessing the board, the prime bet really stands out. Our primary choice is 1, which is the smartest play available, perfectly aligned with the current @1.21 odds.

With the match about to kick off, the analysis is locked in. The final score will serve as the ultimate judge of our statistical read. Use our other daily tips to build your slips.

❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the best betting tip for Sabail vs Shimal?
Our pick is 1 — Sabail to win at odds of ~1.21. Our prediction engine gives this a 38% confidence rating.
How has Sabail performed in their recent matches?
Sabail heads into this fixture with a record of 4W 3D 3L from their last 10 games.
What is the recent form of Shimal?
Shimal has recorded 3W 1D 6L across their last 10 matches.
What is the Head-to-Head (H2H) record between Sabail and Shimal?
In their last 2 meetings, Sabail has won 0 times, Shimal has won 1 times, and there have been 1 draws.
Are we expecting a high-scoring match (Over/Under 2.5 Goals)?
Recent matches involving these teams average 2.8 goals per game. Furthermore, BTTS has landed in 50% of their previous H2H encounters.
Is there value in the odds for this prediction?
At 38% confidence, the odds are fairly priced. Consider it as part of an accumulator rather than a standalone.
What time does Sabail vs Shimal kick off?
Kick-off time is shown at the top of this prediction page. All times may vary by timezone — check your local bookmaker or broadcaster for the exact schedule.
⚠️
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