✕ TIP LOST Lech Poznan 1-1 Arka Gdynia
⚡ Today's Best Picks for this Match
🎯 148% 📊 Over 2.5 Goals80% 📊 Over 1.5 Goals80%
🏆 Poland Ekstraklasa 📅 Friday, 8th May 2026
L
Lech Poznan
W W W D D
1-1
FT
A
Arka Gdynia
L L D W L
Expert Prediction
Prediction Model
1
Backing Lech Poznan to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.40
decimal
Confidence
48%
Solid Pick
H 50% D 20% A 30%
📈 Value Edge
-23%
Negative Edge
Our model gives this a 48% probability, while the current odds imply 71%. Bookmakers are pricing this higher than our model.
⚠️ 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · GambleAware · GamCare · Predictions are for informational purposes only.
⚡ Supporting Bets
Main pick
1 — Lech Poznan to win
@1.40
Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals80%
⚔️ Head to Head
3
Lech Poznan
3
Draws
4
Arka Gdynia
Against Lech Poznan won 3 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊 Team Statistics
Lech Poznan Arka Gdynia
1.9 Goals / Game 1.4
1.1 Conceded / Game 1.9
40% Clean Sheets 20%
6-2-2 W-D-L 3-3-4
Win Rate Comparison
60% 30%
📈 Form Ratings
Lech Poznan
Overall
6.6
Scoring
6.3
Defence
6.3
Arka Gdynia
Overall
3.9
Scoring
4.7
Defence
3.7
🔀 Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 31%
Home Win & BTTS No 21%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 42%
Home Win & Under 2.5 10%
Draw & Over 2.5 18%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 21%
Away Win & Under 2.5 5%
📜 Match History
Head to Head
09.11.25EKS
Arka Gdynia
3
Lech Poznan
1
07.12.23CUP
Arka Gdynia
0
Lech Poznan
1
09.07.21CF
Lech Poznan
0
Arka Gdynia
2
19.12.19EKS
Lech Poznan
1
Arka Gdynia
1
17.08.19EKS
Arka Gdynia
0
Lech Poznan
0
03.03.19EKS
Lech Poznan
1
Arka Gdynia
0
21.09.18EKS
Arka Gdynia
1
Lech Poznan
0
11.02.18EKS
Arka Gdynia
0
Lech Poznan
0
27.08.17EKS
Lech Poznan
3
Arka Gdynia
0
02.05.17CUP
Lech Poznan
1
Arka Gdynia
2
Recent Results
Lech Poznan
02.05.26EKS
Motor Lublin
0
Lech Poznan
1
W
26.04.26EKS
Lech Poznan
4
Legia
0
W
18.04.26EKS
Pogon Szczecin
1
Lech Poznan
2
W
12.04.26EKS
Lech Poznan
3
GKS Katowice
3
D
04.04.26EKS
Jagiellonia
0
Lech Poznan
0
D
22.03.26EKS
Lech Poznan
4
Termalica B-B.
1
W
19.03.26UECL
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
Lech Poznan
2
W
15.03.26EKS
Zaglebie
0
Lech Poznan
1
W
12.03.26UECL
Lech Poznan
1
Shakhtar Donetsk
3
L
07.03.26EKS
Widzew Lodz
2
Lech Poznan
1
L
Arka Gdynia
27.04.26EKS
Piast Gliwice
4
Arka Gdynia
1
L
19.04.26EKS
Arka Gdynia
0
Jagiellonia
3
L
12.04.26EKS
Cracovia
2
Arka Gdynia
2
D
07.04.26EKS
Arka Gdynia
3
Zaglebie
1
W
22.03.26EKS
Korona Kielce
3
Arka Gdynia
0
L
15.03.26EKS
Arka Gdynia
0
Widzew Lodz
0
D
09.03.26EKS
Wisla Plock
0
Arka Gdynia
3
W
05.03.26EKS
Radomiak Radom
3
Arka Gdynia
1
L
27.02.26EKS
Arka Gdynia
2
Lechia Gdansk
2
D
22.02.26EKS
Arka Gdynia
2
GKS Katowice
1
W
📝 Tactical Analysis

On Friday, 8th May 2026, Lech Poznan host Arka Gdynia in Poland Ekstraklasa. Our analysis points to Lech Poznan to win as the standout bet.

Lech Poznan come into this showing mixed form, with 6W 2D 2L from 10 matches.

Arka Gdynia are struggling away — 3W 3D 4L in 10 games.

H2H: Lech Poznan won 3 of 10 meetings vs Arka Gdynia's 4, 3 draws. BTTS in 30%.

With all factors considered, lech poznan to win at 1.40 represents the strongest value angle here.


Finding highly profitable betting chances means you have to sit down and crunch the numbers, and this Poland Ekstraklasa fixture provides a fantastic opening for smart money. The secret to winning is to detach emotionally and focus entirely on the stats that actually matter. The hosts’ current profile is our first stop on the breakdown.

Their general form anchors the market, but the immediate form guide is where the real betting value lives. Breaking down their recent performances highlights their exact threat level and the defensive gaps they are showing today. The visitors offer their own statistical puzzle to solve.

It is essential to compare their extended form with the immediate spark shown in their last few games to establish if they are undervalued by the oddsmakers right now. Past head-to-heads provide another crucial layer of betting insight. The historical data frequently highlights recurring setups or psychological edges that disrupt standard pricing.

Merging these historical facts with current form generates a highly dependable pick that you can trust. After assessing the board, the prime bet really stands out. Our primary choice is 1, which is the smartest play available, perfectly aligned with the current @1.40 odds.

With the match about to kick off, the analysis is locked in. The final score will serve as the ultimate judge of our statistical read. Use our other daily tips to build your slips.

❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the best betting tip for Lech Poznan vs Arka Gdynia?
Our pick is 1 — Lech Poznan to win at odds of ~1.40. Our prediction engine gives this a 48% confidence rating.
How has Lech Poznan performed in their recent matches?
Lech Poznan heads into this fixture with a record of 6W 2D 2L from their last 10 games.
What is the recent form of Arka Gdynia?
Arka Gdynia has recorded 3W 3D 4L across their last 10 matches.
What is the Head-to-Head (H2H) record between Lech Poznan and Arka Gdynia?
In their last 10 meetings, Lech Poznan has won 3 times, Arka Gdynia has won 4 times, and there have been 3 draws.
Are we expecting a high-scoring match (Over/Under 2.5 Goals)?
Recent matches involving these teams average 3.2 goals per game. Furthermore, BTTS has landed in 30% of their previous H2H encounters.
Is there value in the odds for this prediction?
At 48% confidence, the odds are fairly priced. Consider it as part of an accumulator rather than a standalone.
What time does Lech Poznan vs Arka Gdynia kick off?
Kick-off time is shown at the top of this prediction page. All times may vary by timezone — check your local bookmaker or broadcaster for the exact schedule.
⚠️
Responsible Gambling Notice: All predictions on this site are for informational and entertainment purposes only. We never guarantee results. Gambling involves risk — only bet what you can afford to lose. If you need help, visit BeGambleAware.org or call the National Gambling Helpline: 0808 8020 133.
📣 Share this tip: 💬 WhatsApp
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.