🏆 ✓ TIP WON Riga 3-0 Super Nova
⚡ Today's Best Picks for this Match
🎯 Over 2.577% 📊 Over 2.5 Goals65% 📊 Over 1.5 Goals80% 📊 H2H Over 2.570%
🏆 Latvia Virsliga 📅 Sunday, 24th May 2026
R
Riga
W D W W W
3-0
FT
S
Super Nova
W W D L L
Expert Prediction
Prediction Model
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.34
decimal
Confidence
77%
Strong Pick
📈 Value Edge
+2%
Fair Value
Our model gives this a 77% probability, while the current odds imply 75%. Odds appear fairly set by bookmakers.
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⚡ Supporting Bets
Main pick
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
@1.34
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals80% H2H Over 2.570%
⚔️ Head to Head
9
Riga
1
Draws
0
Super Nova
Supports Over 2.5 in 70% of H2H meetings (avg 4.6).
📊 Team Statistics
Riga Super Nova
3 Goals / Game 1.1
1.2 Conceded / Game 1.3
30% Clean Sheets 30%
7-3-0 W-D-L 4-1-5
Win Rate Comparison
70% 40%
📈 Form Ratings
Riga
Overall
7.9
Scoring
10.0
Defence
6.0
Super Nova
Overall
4.3
Scoring
3.7
Defence
5.7
🔀 Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Home Win & BTTS No 22%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 19%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 20%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
📜 Match History
Head to Head
14.04.26VIR
Super Nova
1
Riga FC
4
30.08.25VIR
Super Nova
2
Riga FC
6
22.06.25VIR
Riga FC
2
Super Nova
0
01.05.25VIR
Super Nova
1
Riga FC
5
06.03.25VIR
Riga FC
2
Super Nova
0
29.10.23VIR
Riga FC
1
Super Nova
1
06.08.23VIR
Super Nova
1
Riga FC
5
31.05.23VIR
Riga FC
5
Super Nova
1
20.04.23VIR
Super Nova
0
Riga FC
4
30.09.22VIR
Super Nova
1
Riga FC
4
Recent Results
Riga
20.05.26VIR
Tukums 2000
1
Riga FC
3
W
16.05.26VIR
Riga FC
2
Jelgava
2
D
12.05.26VIR
Riga FC
4
Auda
1
W
08.05.26VIR
BFC Daugavpils
1
Riga FC
3
W
03.05.26VIR
Riga FC
1
FK Liepaja
0
W
28.04.26VIR
RFS
3
Riga FC
3
D
22.04.26VIR
Riga FC
4
Ogre United
0
W
18.04.26VIR
Grobina
0
Riga FC
3
W
14.04.26VIR
Super Nova
1
Riga FC
4
W
09.04.26VIR
Riga FC
3
Tukums 2000
3
D
Super Nova
20.05.26VIR
Grobina
0
Super Nova
2
W
16.05.26VIR
Super Nova
3
Ogre United
1
W
11.05.26VIR
Super Nova
1
Tukums 2000
1
D
06.05.26VIR
Jelgava
1
Super Nova
0
L
01.05.26VIR
Super Nova
1
Auda
2
L
27.04.26VIR
BFC Daugavpils
0
Super Nova
1
W
23.04.26VIR
Super Nova
1
FK Liepaja
2
L
18.04.26VIR
RFS
2
Super Nova
0
L
14.04.26VIR
Super Nova
1
Riga FC
4
L
09.04.26VIR
Grobina
0
Super Nova
1
W
📝 Tactical Analysis

On Sunday, 24th May 2026, Riga host Super Nova in Latvia Virsliga. Our analysis points to over 2.5 goals as the standout bet.

Riga come into this in strong form, with 7W 3D 0L from 10 matches.

Super Nova are inconsistent on the road — 4W 1D 5L in 10 games.

H2H: Riga won 9 of 10 meetings vs Super Nova's 0, 1 draws. BTTS in 70%.

With all factors considered, over 2.5 goals at 1.34 represents the strongest value angle here.


Finding highly profitable betting chances means you have to sit down and crunch the numbers, and this Latvia Virsliga fixture provides a fantastic opening for smart money. The secret to winning is to detach emotionally and focus entirely on the stats that actually matter. The hosts’ current profile is our first stop on the breakdown.

Their general form anchors the market, but the immediate form guide is where the real betting value lives. Breaking down their recent performances highlights their exact threat level and the defensive gaps they are showing today. The visitors offer their own statistical puzzle to solve.

It is essential to compare their extended form with the immediate spark shown in their last few games to establish if they are undervalued by the oddsmakers right now. Past head-to-heads provide another crucial layer of betting insight. The historical data frequently highlights recurring setups or psychological edges that disrupt standard pricing.

Merging these historical facts with current form generates a highly dependable pick that you can trust. After assessing the board, the prime bet really stands out. Our primary choice is Over 2.5, which is the smartest play available, perfectly aligned with the current @1.34 odds.

With the match about to kick off, the analysis is locked in. The final score will serve as the ultimate judge of our statistical read. Use our other daily tips to build your slips.

❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the best betting tip for Riga vs Super Nova?
Our pick is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals at odds of ~1.34. Our prediction engine gives this a 77% confidence rating.
How has Riga performed in their recent matches?
Riga heads into this fixture with a record of 7W 3D 0L from their last 10 games.
What is the recent form of Super Nova?
Super Nova has recorded 4W 1D 5L across their last 10 matches.
What is the Head-to-Head (H2H) record between Riga and Super Nova?
In their last 10 meetings, Riga has won 9 times, Super Nova has won 0 times, and there have been 1 draws.
Are we expecting a high-scoring match (Over/Under 2.5 Goals)?
Recent matches involving these teams average 3.3 goals per game. Furthermore, BTTS has landed in 70% of their previous H2H encounters.
Is there value in the odds for this prediction?
At 77% confidence, this represents genuine value for bettors — the probability exceeds what typical bookmaker odds imply.
What time does Riga vs Super Nova kick off?
Kick-off time is shown at the top of this prediction page. All times may vary by timezone — check your local bookmaker or broadcaster for the exact schedule.
⚠️
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