✕ TIP LOST Aarau 1-3 Etoile-Carouge
⚡ Today's Best Picks for this Match
🎯 161% 📊 Under 2.5 Goals70% 📊 BTTS — No70% 📊 H2H Over 2.570%
🏆 Swiss Challenge League 📅 Tuesday, 7th April 2026
A
Aarau
W W W W W
1-3
FT
E
Etoile-Carouge
D W W L W
Expert Prediction
Prediction Model
1
Backing Aarau to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.43
decimal
Confidence
61%
Solid Pick
H 50% D 30% A 20%
📈 Value Edge
-9%
Negative Edge
Our model gives this a 61% probability, while the current odds imply 70%. Bookmakers are pricing this higher than our model.
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⚡ Supporting Bets
Main pick
1 — Aarau to win
@1.43
Under 2.5 Goals70% BTTS — No70% H2H Over 2.570%
⚔️ Head to Head
7
Aarau
1
Draws
2
Etoile-Carouge
Supports Aarau won 7 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Team Statistics
Aarau Etoile-Carouge
2.4 Goals / Game 0
1.5 Conceded / Game 0
40% Clean Sheets 0%
7-2-1 W-D-L 4-4-2
Win Rate Comparison
70% 40%
📈 Form Ratings
Aarau
Overall
7.6
Scoring
8.0
Defence
5.0
Etoile-Carouge
Overall
5.2
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
🔀 Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Home Win & BTTS No 35%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 15%
Home Win & Under 2.5 35%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 20%
📜 Match History
Head to Head
06.03.26
Challenge League: Étoile Carouge
0
Aarau
3
12.12.25
Challenge League: Aarau
2
Etoile-Carouge
1
26.09.25
Challenge League: Etoile-Carouge
1
Aarau
3
16.05.25
Challenge League: Etoile-Carouge
1
Aarau
3
28.03.25
Challenge League: Aarau
2
Etoile-Carouge
2
05.12.24
Swiss Cup: Aarau
0
Etoile-Carouge
1
01.11.24
Challenge League: Etoile-Carouge
2
Aarau
1
24.08.24
Challenge League: Aarau
1
Etoile-Carouge
0
23.05.12
Challenge League: Aarau
7
Etoile-Carouge
0
24.09.11
Challenge League: Etoile-Carouge
0
Aarau
2
Recent Results
Aarau
04.04.26
Challenge League: Rapperswil-Jona
4
FC Aarau
5
W
21.03.26
Challenge League: FC Aarau
1
Neuchâtel Xamax
0
W
13.03.26
Challenge League: FC Aarau
2
FC Vaduz
0
W
06.03.26
Challenge League: Étoile Carouge
0
FC Aarau
3
W
27.02.26
Challenge League: FC Aarau
5
Rapperswil-Jona
3
W
20.02.26
Challenge League: Stade Nyonnais
1
FC Aarau
1
D
13.02.26
Challenge League: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
4
FC Aarau
2
L
07.02.26
Challenge League: FC Aarau
2
FC Wil
2
D
30.01.26
Challenge League: Yverdon Sport
1
FC Aarau
2
W
24.01.26
Challenge League: FC Aarau
1
Bellinzona
0
W
Etoile-Carouge
03.04.26
Challenge League: Étoile Carouge
0
Stade Nyonnais
0
D
22.03.26
Challenge League: FC Wil
1
Étoile Carouge
3
W
13.03.26
Challenge League: Bellinzona
0
Étoile Carouge
3
W
06.03.26
Challenge League: Étoile Carouge
0
FC Aarau
3
L
28.02.26
Challenge League: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
0
Étoile Carouge
1
W
20.02.26
Challenge League: Étoile Carouge
2
Yverdon Sport
2
D
13.02.26
Challenge League: Étoile Carouge
1
Neuchâtel Xamax
3
L
06.02.26
Challenge League: FC Vaduz
3
Étoile Carouge
3
D
30.01.26
Challenge League: Étoile Carouge
2
Rapperswil-Jona
1
W
23.01.26
Challenge League: Stade Nyonnais
2
Étoile Carouge
2
D
📝 Tactical Analysis

On Tuesday, 7th April 2026, Aarau host Etoile-Carouge in Swiss Challenge League. Our analysis points to Aarau to win as the standout bet.

Aarau come into this in strong form, with 7W 2D 1L from 10 matches.

Etoile-Carouge are inconsistent on the road — 4W 4D 2L in 10 games.

H2H: Aarau won 7 of 10 meetings vs Etoile-Carouge's 2, 1 draws. BTTS in 50%.

With all factors considered, aarau to win at 1.43 represents the strongest value angle here.


Finding highly profitable betting chances means you have to sit down and crunch the numbers, and this Swiss Challenge League fixture provides a fantastic opening for smart money. The secret to winning is to detach emotionally and focus entirely on the stats that actually matter. The hosts’ current profile is our first stop on the breakdown.

Their general form anchors the market, but the immediate form guide is where the real betting value lives. Breaking down their recent performances highlights their exact threat level and the defensive gaps they are showing today. The visitors offer their own statistical puzzle to solve.

It is essential to compare their extended form with the immediate spark shown in their last few games to establish if they are undervalued by the oddsmakers right now. Past head-to-heads provide another crucial layer of betting insight. The historical data frequently highlights recurring setups or psychological edges that disrupt standard pricing.

Merging these historical facts with current form generates a highly dependable pick that you can trust. After assessing the board, the prime bet really stands out. Our primary choice is 1, which is the smartest play available, perfectly aligned with the current @1.43 odds.

With the match about to kick off, the analysis is locked in. The final score will serve as the ultimate judge of our statistical read. Use our other daily tips to build your slips.

❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the best betting tip for Aarau vs Etoile-Carouge?
Our pick is 1 — Aarau to win at odds of ~1.43. Our prediction engine gives this a 61% confidence rating.
How has Aarau performed in their recent matches?
Aarau heads into this fixture with a record of 7W 2D 1L from their last 10 games.
What is the recent form of Etoile-Carouge?
Etoile-Carouge has recorded 4W 4D 2L across their last 10 matches.
What is the Head-to-Head (H2H) record between Aarau and Etoile-Carouge?
In their last 10 meetings, Aarau has won 7 times, Etoile-Carouge has won 2 times, and there have been 1 draws.
Are we expecting a high-scoring match (Over/Under 2.5 Goals)?
Recent matches involving these teams average 2 goals per game. Furthermore, BTTS has landed in 50% of their previous H2H encounters.
Is there value in the odds for this prediction?
At 61% confidence, this represents genuine value for bettors — the probability exceeds what typical bookmaker odds imply.
What time does Aarau vs Etoile-Carouge kick off?
Kick-off time is shown at the top of this prediction page. All times may vary by timezone — check your local bookmaker or broadcaster for the exact schedule.
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