🏆 ✓ TIP WON Al Shabab 2-4 Al Nassr
⚡ Today's Best Picks for this Match
🎯 Over 2.578% 📊 Over 1.5 Goals90% 📊 Al Nassr Clean Sheet60% 📊 H2H Over 2.580%
🏆 Saudi Professional League 📅 Thursday, 7th May 2026
A
Al Shabab
L D L W D
2-4
FT
A
Al Nassr
L W W W W
Expert Prediction
Prediction Model
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.32
decimal
Confidence
78%
Strong Pick
📈 Value Edge
+2%
Fair Value
Our model gives this a 78% probability, while the current odds imply 76%. Odds appear fairly set by bookmakers.
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⚡ Supporting Bets
Main pick
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
@1.32
Over 1.5 Goals90% Al Nassr Clean Sheet60% H2H Over 2.580%
⚔️ Head to Head
0
Al Shabab
3
Draws
7
Al Nassr
Supports Over 2.5 in 80% of H2H meetings (avg 3.9).
📊 Team Statistics
Al Shabab Al Nassr
2.6 Goals / Game 2.9
2 Conceded / Game 0.7
10% Clean Sheets 60%
3-4-3 W-D-L 9-0-1
Win Rate Comparison
30% 90%
📈 Form Ratings
Al Shabab
Overall
4.2
Scoring
8.7
Defence
3.3
Al Nassr
Overall
9.0
Scoring
9.7
Defence
7.7
🔀 Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Home Win & BTTS No 8%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 39%
Away Win & BTTS No 26%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 13%
Home Win & Under 2.5 8%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 39%
Away Win & Under 2.5 26%
📜 Match History
Head to Head
17.01.26SPL
Al Nassr
3
Al Shabab
2
07.03.25SPL
Al Nassr
2
Al Shabab
2
18.10.24SPL
Al Shabab
1
Al Nassr
2
25.02.24SPL
Al Shabab
2
Al Nassr
3
11.12.23KC
Al Shabab
2
Al Nassr
5
29.08.23SPL
Al Nassr
4
Al Shabab
0
28.07.23ACCC
Al Nassr
0
Al Shabab
0
23.05.23SPL
Al Nassr
3
Al Shabab
2
14.01.23SPL
Al Shabab
0
Al Nassr
0
06.05.22SPL
Al Nassr
4
Al Shabab
2
Recent Results
Al Shabab
03.05.26SPL
Al Shabab
1
Al Taawon
5
L
28.04.26SPL
Al Shabab
1
Al Fateh
1
D
23.04.26GCC
Al Shabab
0
Al Rayyan
3
L
19.04.26GCC
Al Shabab
12
Zakho
1
W
14.04.26SPL
Al Qadsiah
2
Al Shabab
2
D
05.04.26SPL
Al Riyadh
1
Al Shabab
1
D
14.03.26SPL
Al Shabab
2
Al Okhdood
0
W
07.03.26SPL
Al Ettifaq
1
Al Shabab
1
D
27.02.26SPL
Al Shabab
3
Al Hilal
5
L
23.02.26SPL
Al Shabab
3
Al Riyadh
1
W
Al Nassr
03.05.26SPL
Al Qadsiah
3
Al Nassr
1
L
29.04.26SPL
Al Nassr
2
Al Ahli SC
0
W
22.04.26CL2
Al Nassr
5
Al Ahli Doha
1
W
19.04.26CL2
Al Wasl
0
Al Nassr
4
W
15.04.26SPL
Al Nassr
1
Al Ettifaq
0
W
11.04.26SPL
Al Okhdood
0
Al Nassr
2
W
03.04.26SPL
Al Nassr
5
Al Najma
2
W
14.03.26SPL
Al Khaleej
0
Al Nassr
5
W
07.03.26SPL
Al Nassr
1
Neom SC
0
W
28.02.26SPL
Al Fayha
1
Al Nassr
3
W
📝 Tactical Analysis

On Thursday, 7th May 2026, Al Shabab host Al Nassr in Saudi Professional League. Our analysis points to over 2.5 goals as the standout bet.

Al Shabab come into this going through a difficult run, with 3W 4D 3L from 10 matches.

Al Nassr are travelling well — 9W 0D 1L in 10 games.

H2H: Al Shabab won 0 of 10 meetings vs Al Nassr's 7, 3 draws. BTTS in 70%.

With all factors considered, over 2.5 goals at 1.32 represents the strongest value angle here.


Finding highly profitable betting chances means you have to sit down and crunch the numbers, and this Saudi Professional League fixture provides a fantastic opening for smart money. The secret to winning is to detach emotionally and focus entirely on the stats that actually matter. The hosts’ current profile is our first stop on the breakdown.

Their general form anchors the market, but the immediate form guide is where the real betting value lives. Breaking down their recent performances highlights their exact threat level and the defensive gaps they are showing today. The visitors offer their own statistical puzzle to solve.

It is essential to compare their extended form with the immediate spark shown in their last few games to establish if they are undervalued by the oddsmakers right now. Past head-to-heads provide another crucial layer of betting insight. The historical data frequently highlights recurring setups or psychological edges that disrupt standard pricing.

Merging these historical facts with current form generates a highly dependable pick that you can trust. After assessing the board, the prime bet really stands out. Our primary choice is Over 2.5, which is the smartest play available, perfectly aligned with the current @1.32 odds.

With the match about to kick off, the analysis is locked in. The final score will serve as the ultimate judge of our statistical read. Use our other daily tips to build your slips.

❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the best betting tip for Al Shabab vs Al Nassr?
Our pick is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals at odds of ~1.32. Our prediction engine gives this a 78% confidence rating.
How has Al Shabab performed in their recent matches?
Al Shabab heads into this fixture with a record of 3W 4D 3L from their last 10 games.
What is the recent form of Al Nassr?
Al Nassr has recorded 9W 0D 1L across their last 10 matches.
What is the Head-to-Head (H2H) record between Al Shabab and Al Nassr?
In their last 10 meetings, Al Shabab has won 0 times, Al Nassr has won 7 times, and there have been 3 draws.
Are we expecting a high-scoring match (Over/Under 2.5 Goals)?
Recent matches involving these teams average 4.1 goals per game. Furthermore, BTTS has landed in 70% of their previous H2H encounters.
Is there value in the odds for this prediction?
At 78% confidence, this represents genuine value for bettors — the probability exceeds what typical bookmaker odds imply.
What time does Al Shabab vs Al Nassr kick off?
Kick-off time is shown at the top of this prediction page. All times may vary by timezone — check your local bookmaker or broadcaster for the exact schedule.
⚠️
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