🏆 ✓ TIP WON Mbeya City 0-1 Simba
⚡ Today's Best Picks for this Match
🎯 268% 📊 Simba Clean Sheet55%
🏆 Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara 📅 Wednesday, 17th June 2026
M
Mbeya City
W L D L L
0-1
FT
S
Simba
W W W W W
Expert Prediction
Prediction Model
2
Backing Simba to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.22
decimal
Confidence
68%
Strong Pick
H 20% D 30% A 50%
📈 Value Edge
-14%
Negative Edge
Our model gives this a 68% probability, while the current odds imply 82%. Bookmakers are pricing this higher than our model.
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⚡ Supporting Bets
Main pick
2 — Simba to win
@1.22
Simba Clean Sheet55%
⚔️ Head to Head
1
Mbeya City
1
Draws
8
Simba
Supports Simba won 8 of 10 meetings.
📊 Team Statistics
Mbeya City Simba
0.6 Goals / Game 2.5
2 Conceded / Game 0.5
30% Clean Sheets 55%
2-3-5 W-D-L 10-1-0
Win Rate Comparison
20% 91%
📈 Form Ratings
Mbeya City
Overall
2.9
Scoring
2.0
Defence
3.3
Simba
Overall
9.4
Scoring
8.5
Defence
8.2
🔀 Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Home Win & BTTS No 9%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Away Win & BTTS No 40%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 9%
Home Win & Under 2.5 6%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 43%
Away Win & Under 2.5 27%
📜 Match History
Head to Head
04.12.25LKB
Simba
3
Mbeya City
0
13.04.25FAC
Simba
3
Mbeya City
1
18.01.23LKB
Simba
3
Mbeya City
2
23.11.22LKB
Mbeya City
1
Simba
1
16.06.22LKB
Simba
3
Mbeya City
0
17.01.22LKB
Mbeya City
1
Simba
0
22.06.21LKB
Simba
4
Mbeya City
1
13.12.20LKB
Mbeya City
0
Simba
1
24.06.20LKB
Mbeya City
0
Simba
2
03.11.19LKB
Simba
4
Mbeya City
0
Recent Results
Mbeya City
13.06.26LKB
Mbeya City
1
Mtibwa Sugar
0
W
26.05.26LKB
Singida Black Stars
4
Mbeya City
1
L
21.05.26LKB
Namungo
1
Mbeya City
1
D
13.05.26LKB
Mbeya City
0
Coastal Union
2
L
09.05.26LKB
JKT Tanzania
1
Mbeya City
0
L
04.05.26LKB
Tanzania Prisons
1
Mbeya City
2
W
30.04.26LKB
Mbeya City
0
Mashujaa
0
D
16.04.26LKB
Young Africans
6
Mbeya City
0
L
12.04.26FAC
Singida Black Stars
5
Mbeya City
1
L
09.04.26LKB
Mbeya City
0
Azam
0
D
Simba
14.06.26LKB
Simba
2
Pamba
1
W
24.05.26LKB
Simba
1
Dodoma Jiji
0
W
21.05.26LKB
Coastal Union
1
Simba
2
W
17.05.26FAC
Simba
4
TRA United
0
W
14.05.26LKB
Mashujaa
0
Simba
3
W
10.05.26LKB
Simba
4
Tanzania Prisons
0
W
06.05.26LKB
Simba
1
JKT Tanzania
0
W
03.05.26LKB
Simba
2
Young Africans
2
D
19.04.26LKB
Namungo
1
Simba
3
W
15.04.26LKB
Fountain Gate
0
Simba
3
W
12.04.26FAC
Simba
3
Dodoma Jiji
1
W
📝 Tactical Analysis

On Wednesday, 17th June 2026, Mbeya City host Simba in Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara. Our analysis points to Simba to win as the standout bet.

Mbeya City come into this going through a difficult run, with 2W 3D 5L from 10 matches.

Simba are travelling well — 10W 1D 0L in 11 games.

H2H: Mbeya City won 1 of 10 meetings vs Simba's 8, 1 draws. BTTS in 40%.

With all factors considered, simba to win at 1.22 represents the strongest value angle here.


Finding highly profitable betting chances means you have to sit down and crunch the numbers, and this Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara fixture provides a fantastic opening for smart money. The secret to winning is to detach emotionally and focus entirely on the stats that actually matter. The hosts’ current profile is our first stop on the breakdown.

Their general form anchors the market, but the immediate form guide is where the real betting value lives. Breaking down their recent performances highlights their exact threat level and the defensive gaps they are showing today. The visitors offer their own statistical puzzle to solve.

It is essential to compare their extended form with the immediate spark shown in their last few games to establish if they are undervalued by the oddsmakers right now. Past head-to-heads provide another crucial layer of betting insight. The historical data frequently highlights recurring setups or psychological edges that disrupt standard pricing.

Merging these historical facts with current form generates a highly dependable pick that you can trust. After assessing the board, the prime bet really stands out. Our primary choice is 2, which is the smartest play available, perfectly aligned with the current @1.22 odds.

With the match about to kick off, the analysis is locked in. The final score will serve as the ultimate judge of our statistical read. Use our other daily tips to build your slips.

❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the best betting tip for Mbeya City vs Simba?
Our pick is 2 — Simba to win at odds of ~1.22. Our prediction engine gives this a 68% confidence rating.
How has Mbeya City performed in their recent matches?
Mbeya City heads into this fixture with a record of 2W 3D 5L from their last 10 games.
What is the recent form of Simba?
Simba has recorded 10W 1D 0L across their last 11 matches.
What is the Head-to-Head (H2H) record between Mbeya City and Simba?
In their last 10 meetings, Mbeya City has won 1 times, Simba has won 8 times, and there have been 1 draws.
Are we expecting a high-scoring match (Over/Under 2.5 Goals)?
Recent matches involving these teams average 2.9 goals per game. Furthermore, BTTS has landed in 40% of their previous H2H encounters.
Is there value in the odds for this prediction?
At 68% confidence, this represents genuine value for bettors — the probability exceeds what typical bookmaker odds imply.
What time does Mbeya City vs Simba kick off?
Kick-off time is shown at the top of this prediction page. All times may vary by timezone — check your local bookmaker or broadcaster for the exact schedule.
⚠️
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