🏆 ✓ TIP WON RB Leipzig 2-1 Pauli
⚡ Today's Best Picks for this Match
🎯 153% 📊 Over 1.5 Goals80%
🏆 Bundesliga 📅 Saturday, 9th May 2026
R
RB Leipzig
L W W W W
2-1
FT
P
Pauli
L L D L D
Expert Prediction
Prediction Model
1
Backing RB Leipzig to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.35
decimal
Confidence
53%
Solid Pick
H 50% D 30% A 20%
📈 Value Edge
-21%
Negative Edge
Our model gives this a 53% probability, while the current odds imply 74%. Bookmakers are pricing this higher than our model.
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⚡ Supporting Bets
Main pick
1 — RB Leipzig to win
@1.35
Over 1.5 Goals80%
⚔️ Head to Head
3
RB Leipzig
2
Draws
3
Pauli
Against RB Leipzig won 3 of the last 8 meetings (2 draws).
📊 Team Statistics
RB Leipzig Pauli
2.1 Goals / Game 0.7
1.2 Conceded / Game 1.6
20% Clean Sheets 20%
7-1-2 W-D-L 2-3-5
Win Rate Comparison
70% 20%
📈 Form Ratings
RB Leipzig
Overall
7.3
Scoring
7.0
Defence
6.0
Pauli
Overall
2.9
Scoring
2.3
Defence
4.7
🔀 Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 38%
Home Win & BTTS No 26%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 38%
Home Win & Under 2.5 26%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
📜 Match History
Head to Head
27.01.26BUN
St. Pauli
1
RB Leipzig
1
09.02.25BUN
RB Leipzig
2
St. Pauli
0
29.10.24POK
RB Leipzig
4
St. Pauli
2
22.09.24BUN
St. Pauli
0
RB Leipzig
0
12.02.162BUN
St. Pauli
1
RB Leipzig
0
23.08.152BUN
RB Leipzig
0
St. Pauli
1
03.05.152BUN
St. Pauli
1
RB Leipzig
0
23.11.142BUN
RB Leipzig
4
St. Pauli
1
Recent Results
RB Leipzig
02.05.26BUN
Bayer Leverkusen
4
RB Leipzig
1
L
24.04.26BUN
RB Leipzig
3
Union Berlin
1
W
18.04.26BUN
Eintracht Frankfurt
1
RB Leipzig
3
W
11.04.26BUN
RB Leipzig
1
B. Monchengladbach
0
W
04.04.26BUN
Werder Bremen
1
RB Leipzig
2
W
20.03.26BUN
RB Leipzig
5
Hoffenheim
0
W
15.03.26BUN
Stuttgart
1
RB Leipzig
0
L
07.03.26BUN
RB Leipzig
2
Augsburg
1
W
01.03.26BUN
Hamburger SV
1
RB Leipzig
2
W
21.02.26BUN
RB Leipzig
2
Dortmund
2
D
Pauli
03.05.26BUN
St. Pauli
1
Mainz
2
L
25.04.26BUN
Heidenheim
2
St. Pauli
0
L
17.04.26BUN
St. Pauli
1
FC Koln
1
D
11.04.26BUN
St. Pauli
0
Bayern Munich
5
L
05.04.26BUN
Union Berlin
1
St. Pauli
1
D
22.03.26BUN
St. Pauli
1
Freiburg
2
L
13.03.26BUN
B. Monchengladbach
2
St. Pauli
0
L
08.03.26BUN
St. Pauli
0
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
D
28.02.26BUN
Hoffenheim
0
St. Pauli
1
W
22.02.26BUN
St. Pauli
2
Werder Bremen
1
W
📝 Tactical Analysis

On Saturday, 9th May 2026, RB Leipzig host Pauli in Bundesliga. Our analysis points to RB Leipzig to win as the standout bet.

RB Leipzig come into this in strong form, with 7W 1D 2L from 10 matches.

Pauli are struggling away — 2W 3D 5L in 10 games.

H2H: RB Leipzig won 3 of 8 meetings vs Pauli's 3, 2 draws. BTTS in 38%.

With all factors considered, rb leipzig to win at 1.35 represents the strongest value angle here.


Finding highly profitable betting chances means you have to sit down and crunch the numbers, and this Bundesliga fixture provides a fantastic opening for smart money. The secret to winning is to detach emotionally and focus entirely on the stats that actually matter. The hosts’ current profile is our first stop on the breakdown.

Their general form anchors the market, but the immediate form guide is where the real betting value lives. Breaking down their recent performances highlights their exact threat level and the defensive gaps they are showing today. The visitors offer their own statistical puzzle to solve.

It is essential to compare their extended form with the immediate spark shown in their last few games to establish if they are undervalued by the oddsmakers right now. Past head-to-heads provide another crucial layer of betting insight. The historical data frequently highlights recurring setups or psychological edges that disrupt standard pricing.

Merging these historical facts with current form generates a highly dependable pick that you can trust. After assessing the board, the prime bet really stands out. Our primary choice is 1, which is the smartest play available, perfectly aligned with the current @1.35 odds.

With the match about to kick off, the analysis is locked in. The final score will serve as the ultimate judge of our statistical read. Use our other daily tips to build your slips.

❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the best betting tip for RB Leipzig vs Pauli?
Our pick is 1 — RB Leipzig to win at odds of ~1.35. Our prediction engine gives this a 53% confidence rating.
How has RB Leipzig performed in their recent matches?
RB Leipzig heads into this fixture with a record of 7W 1D 2L from their last 10 games.
What is the recent form of Pauli?
Pauli has recorded 2W 3D 5L across their last 10 matches.
What is the Head-to-Head (H2H) record between RB Leipzig and Pauli?
In their last 8 meetings, RB Leipzig has won 3 times, Pauli has won 3 times, and there have been 2 draws.
Are we expecting a high-scoring match (Over/Under 2.5 Goals)?
Recent matches involving these teams average 2.8 goals per game. Furthermore, BTTS has landed in 38% of their previous H2H encounters.
Is there value in the odds for this prediction?
At 53% confidence, the odds are fairly priced. Consider it as part of an accumulator rather than a standalone.
What time does RB Leipzig vs Pauli kick off?
Kick-off time is shown at the top of this prediction page. All times may vary by timezone — check your local bookmaker or broadcaster for the exact schedule.
⚠️
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