⚡ Today's Best Picks for this Match
🎯 156% 📊 H2H Over 2.571%
🏆 Ireland FA Cup 📅 Friday, 17th July 2026 ⏰ 7:45 pm 📍 Richmond Park (Dublin) ⏳ —
S
St Patricks
L D W L W
VS
W
Wexford
D L D D L
Expert Prediction
Prediction Model
1
Backing St Patricks to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.14
decimal
Confidence
56%
Solid Pick
H 50% D 30% A 20%
📈 Value Edge
-32%
Negative Edge
Our model gives this a 56% probability, while the current odds imply 88%. Bookmakers are pricing this higher than our model.
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⚡ Supporting Bets
Main pick
1 — St Patricks to win
@1.14
H2H Over 2.571%
⚔️ Head to Head
6
St Patricks
1
Draws
0
Wexford
Supports St Patricks won 6 of the last 7 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Team Statistics
St Patricks Wexford
1.4 Goals / Game 0.8
1 Conceded / Game 1.7
40% Clean Sheets 10%
4-2-4 W-D-L 1-3-6
Win Rate Comparison
40% 10%
📈 Form Ratings
St Patricks
Overall
4.6
Scoring
4.7
Defence
6.7
Wexford
Overall
1.9
Scoring
2.7
Defence
4.3
🔀 Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Home Win & BTTS No 32%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 20%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 18%
Away Win & Over 2.5 6%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
📜 Match History
Head to Head
02.02.22CF
Wexford
1
St. Patricks
1
17.09.21FAI
St. Patricks
3
Wexford
0
12.01.19CF
Wexford
0
St. Patricks
3
07.10.16PD
St. Patricks
4
Wexford
1
01.08.16PD
Wexford
0
St. Patricks
1
15.04.16PD
St. Patricks
4
Wexford
0
17.08.08FAI
Wexford
1
St. Patricks
3
Recent Results
St Patricks
14.07.26CF
Doncaster
4
St. Patricks
2
L
10.07.26PD
Waterford
1
St. Patricks
1
D
03.07.26PD
St. Patricks
3
Galway
0
W
26.06.26PD
Bohemians
2
St. Patricks
0
L
19.06.26PD
St. Patricks
2
Sligo Rovers
0
W
12.06.26PD
St. Patricks
2
Drogheda
0
W
29.05.26PD
Shamrock Rovers
1
St. Patricks
0
L
22.05.26PD
Derry City
0
St. Patricks
0
D
15.05.26PD
St. Patricks
0
Shelbourne
1
L
08.05.26PD
St. Patricks
4
Waterford
1
W
Wexford
10.07.26DIV
Wexford
2
Kerry
2
D
03.07.26DIV
Finn Harps
1
Wexford
0
L
26.06.26DIV
Wexford
0
Treaty United
0
D
19.06.26DIV
Athlone
2
Wexford
2
D
12.06.26DIV
Wexford
0
Cork City
2
L
29.05.26DIV
Bray
4
Wexford
0
L
22.05.26DIV
Wexford
2
UC Dublin
1
W
15.05.26DIV
Kerry
2
Wexford
1
L
08.05.26DIV
Wexford
1
Longford
2
L
04.05.26DIV
Treaty United
1
Wexford
0
L
📝 Tactical Analysis

On Friday, 17th July 2026, St Patricks host Wexford at Richmond Park (Dublin) in Ireland FA Cup. Our analysis points to St Patricks to win as the standout bet.

St Patricks come into this showing mixed form, with 4W 2D 4L from 10 matches.

Wexford are struggling away — 1W 3D 6L in 10 games.

H2H: St Patricks won 6 of 7 meetings vs Wexford's 0, 1 draws. BTTS in 43%.

With all factors considered, st patricks to win at 1.14 represents the strongest value angle here.


Not every Ireland FA Cup match hands you a clean angle. Some are genuinely too close to call, and the smart move is to walk away. But every so often the recent form, the venue dynamics and the market price all point the same direction at once — and those are the games worth your attention. This is one of them, and here is how we arrived there.

The home team’s recent form reads 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. That run is the anchor for the opening price, but it is only a starting point. To understand the side that will actually walk out at Richmond Park (Dublin), you need the texture of the recent home matches: the attacking output, the defensive stability or lack of it, and whether team selection has been settled or scrambled by injuries. A side grinding through recent games with a depleted squad deserves a very different price than the bare results suggest.

The visitors carry 3 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games on the road. We weight that more heavily, because a team taking points away from home recently tends to bring confidence, clarity and a working system into the next away day — qualities that often persist for a run of matches before they fade. The opposite holds just as firmly.

With both sides weighed, the recommendation is 1 at @1.14, which our model puts at around 50,30,20%. The match begins at 7:45 pm.

That is the call, fully reasoned. Explore the rest of today’s fixtures on the site — we have given each one the same honest read.

❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the best betting tip for St Patricks vs Wexford?
Our pick is 1 — St Patricks to win at odds of ~1.14. Our prediction engine gives this a 56% confidence rating.
How has St Patricks performed in their recent matches?
St Patricks heads into this fixture with a record of 4W 2D 4L from their last 10 games.
What is the recent form of Wexford?
Wexford has recorded 1W 3D 6L across their last 10 matches.
What is the Head-to-Head (H2H) record between St Patricks and Wexford?
In their last 7 meetings, St Patricks has won 6 times, Wexford has won 0 times, and there have been 1 draws.
Are we expecting a high-scoring match (Over/Under 2.5 Goals)?
Recent matches involving these teams average 2.5 goals per game. Furthermore, BTTS has landed in 43% of their previous H2H encounters.
Is there value in the odds for this prediction?
At 56% confidence, the odds are fairly priced. Consider it as part of an accumulator rather than a standalone.
What time does St Patricks vs Wexford kick off?
Kick-off time is shown at the top of this prediction page. All times may vary by timezone — check your local bookmaker or broadcaster for the exact schedule.
⚠️
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