🏆 ✓ TIP WON Super Nova 1-4 Riga
⚡ Today's Best Picks for this Match
🎯 263% 📊 Over 2.5 Goals79% 📊 Over 1.5 Goals89% 📊 BTTS — Yes79%
🏆 Latvia Virsliga 📅 Tuesday, 14th April 2026
S
Super Nova
W W W D L
1-4
FT
R
Riga
D W L W W
Expert Prediction
Prediction Model
2
Backing Riga to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.17
decimal
Confidence
63%
Solid Pick
H 30% D 20% A 50%
📈 Value Edge
-22%
Negative Edge
Our model gives this a 63% probability, while the current odds imply 85%. Bookmakers are pricing this higher than our model.
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⚡ Supporting Bets
Main pick
2 — Riga to win
@1.17
Over 2.5 Goals79% Over 1.5 Goals89% BTTS — Yes79%
⚔️ Head to Head
0
Super Nova
1
Draws
9
Riga
Supports Riga won 9 of 10 meetings.
📊 Team Statistics
Super Nova Riga
1.4 Goals / Game 3
1.4 Conceded / Game 1.5
11% Clean Sheets 20%
4-2-3 W-D-L 6-1-3
Win Rate Comparison
44% 60%
📈 Form Ratings
Super Nova
Overall
5.1
Scoring
4.8
Defence
5.2
Riga
Overall
6.3
Scoring
10.0
Defence
5.0
🔀 Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 8%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 40%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 29%
Home Win & Under 2.5 8%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 40%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
📜 Match History
Head to Head
30.08.25
Virslīga: Super Nova
2
Riga FC
6
22.06.25
Virslīga: Riga FC
2
Super Nova
0
01.05.25
Virslīga: Super Nova
1
Riga FC
5
06.03.25
Virslīga: Riga FC
2
Super Nova
0
29.10.23
Virslīga: Riga FC
1
Super Nova
1
06.08.23
Virslīga: Super Nova
1
Riga FC
5
31.05.23
Virslīga: Riga FC
5
Super Nova
1
20.04.23
Virslīga: Super Nova
0
Riga FC
4
30.09.22
Virslīga: Super Nova
1
Riga FC
4
17.07.22
Virslīga: Riga FC
1
Super Nova
0
Recent Results
Super Nova
09.04.26
Virslīga: FK Grobiņa
0
Super Nova
1
W
03.04.26
Virslīga: Ogre United
1
Super Nova
2
W
22.03.26
Virslīga: Tukums 2000
1
Super Nova
2
W
15.03.26
Virslīga: Super Nova
1
FS Jelgava
1
D
08.03.26
Virslīga: FK Auda
2
Super Nova
1
L
28.02.26
Friendlies: Paide
1
Super Nova
0
L
21.02.26
Friendlies: Kalju
1
Super Nova
1
D
11.02.26
Friendlies: Narva
1
Super Nova
3
W
14.01.26
Friendlies: RFS
5
Super Nova
2
L
Riga
09.04.26
Virslīga: Riga FC
3
Tukums 2000
3
D
04.04.26
Virslīga: FS Jelgava
0
Riga FC
8
W
27.03.26
Friendlies: Legia Warsaw
3
Riga FC
1
L
20.03.26
Virslīga: FK Auda
1
Riga FC
2
W
14.03.26
Virslīga: Riga FC
4
BFC Daugavpils
2
W
07.03.26
Virslīga: FK Liepāja
2
Riga FC
1
L
24.02.26
Friendlies: Flora Tallinn
0
Riga FC
3
W
17.02.26
Winter Cup: Riga FC
4
FK Auda
1
W
12.02.26
Friendlies: LNZ Cherkasy
1
Riga FC
3
W
05.02.26
Friendlies: Shakhtar Donetsk
2
Riga FC
1
L
📝 Tactical Analysis

On Tuesday, 14th April 2026, Super Nova host Riga in Latvia Virsliga. Our analysis points to Riga to win as the standout bet.

Super Nova come into this showing mixed form, with 4W 2D 3L from 9 matches.

Riga are inconsistent on the road — 6W 1D 3L in 10 games.

H2H: Super Nova won 0 of 10 meetings vs Riga's 9, 1 draws. BTTS in 60%.

With all factors considered, riga to win at 1.17 represents the strongest value angle here.


Finding highly profitable betting chances means you have to sit down and crunch the numbers, and this Latvia Virsliga fixture provides a fantastic opening for smart money. The secret to winning is to detach emotionally and focus entirely on the stats that actually matter. The hosts’ current profile is our first stop on the breakdown.

Their general form anchors the market, but the immediate form guide is where the real betting value lives. Breaking down their recent performances highlights their exact threat level and the defensive gaps they are showing today. The visitors offer their own statistical puzzle to solve.

It is essential to compare their extended form with the immediate spark shown in their last few games to establish if they are undervalued by the oddsmakers right now. Past head-to-heads provide another crucial layer of betting insight. The historical data frequently highlights recurring setups or psychological edges that disrupt standard pricing.

Merging these historical facts with current form generates a highly dependable pick that you can trust. After assessing the board, the prime bet really stands out. Our primary choice is 2, which is the smartest play available, perfectly aligned with the current @1.17 odds.

With the match about to kick off, the analysis is locked in. The final score will serve as the ultimate judge of our statistical read. Use our other daily tips to build your slips.

❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the best betting tip for Super Nova vs Riga?
Our pick is 2 — Riga to win at odds of ~1.17. Our prediction engine gives this a 63% confidence rating.
How has Super Nova performed in their recent matches?
Super Nova heads into this fixture with a record of 4W 2D 3L from their last 9 games.
What is the recent form of Riga?
Riga has recorded 6W 1D 3L across their last 10 matches.
What is the Head-to-Head (H2H) record between Super Nova and Riga?
In their last 10 meetings, Super Nova has won 0 times, Riga has won 9 times, and there have been 1 draws.
Are we expecting a high-scoring match (Over/Under 2.5 Goals)?
Recent matches involving these teams average 3.7 goals per game. Furthermore, BTTS has landed in 60% of their previous H2H encounters.
Is there value in the odds for this prediction?
At 63% confidence, this represents genuine value for bettors — the probability exceeds what typical bookmaker odds imply.
What time does Super Nova vs Riga kick off?
Kick-off time is shown at the top of this prediction page. All times may vary by timezone — check your local bookmaker or broadcaster for the exact schedule.
⚠️
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