Surest Prediction Site

Surest Prediction Site


Sat, Oct 7, 2023

No predictions available for this date.

Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Sabah Baku vs Aarhus Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (56 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on Over 1.5 90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 44 wins from 56 settled tips (78.6%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 79.4%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Kauno Zalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (56 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on Over 1.5 90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 44 wins from 56 settled tips (78.6%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 79.4%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Palmeiras U20 vs Ituano U20 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.4% over the last 90 days (265 tips graded). In Brazil Paulista U20, our record stands at 100% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
77.4% on 1 50% probability 100% in Brazil Paulista U20
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 205 wins from 265 settled tips (77.4%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 79.4%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Rovaniemi vs KuPS Akatemia 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.4% over the last 90 days (265 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.4% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 205 wins from 265 settled tips (77.4%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 79.4%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Ibrachina U20 vs Santo Andre U20 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.4% over the last 90 days (265 tips graded). In Brazil Paulista U20, our record stands at 100% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
77.4% on 1 50% probability 100% in Brazil Paulista U20
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 205 wins from 265 settled tips (77.4%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 79.4%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Al Sulaibikhat vs Sporty 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.4% over the last 90 days (265 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.4% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 205 wins from 265 settled tips (77.4%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 79.4%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Yarmouk vs Burgan 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.4% over the last 90 days (265 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.4% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 205 wins from 265 settled tips (77.4%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 79.4%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Lyon vs Sparta Prague 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.4% over the last 90 days (265 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.4% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 205 wins from 265 settled tips (77.4%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 79.4%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Today's Tips Ranked
Tue 11 Aug 2026 • by win probability
High Conf.
Sabah Baku vs Aarhus
Over 1.5 Champions League Qualifier 5:00 pm
90%
prob
High Conf.
Kauno Zalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb
Over 1.5 Champions League Qualifier 6:00 pm
90%
prob
Solid Pick
Palmeiras U20 vs Ituano U20
1 Brazil Paulista U20 7:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Rovaniemi vs KuPS Akatemia
1 Finland Ykkonen 4:30 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Ibrachina U20 vs Santo Andre U20
1 Brazil Paulista U20 7:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Al Sulaibikhat vs Sporty
1 Kuwait Division 1 6:25 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Yarmouk vs Burgan
1 Kuwait Division 1 5:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Lyon vs Sparta Prague
1 Champions League Qualifier 8:00 pm
50%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Tuesday • site avg 79.4% • evidence-based
Sabah Baku vs Aarhus
Over 1.5 Champions League Qualifier 5:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 83/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way.
Kauno Zalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb
Over 1.5 Champions League Qualifier 6:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 83/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way.
Palmeiras U20 vs Ituano U20
1 Brazil Paulista U20 7:00 pm
Supported
Score: 73/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.4%). No significant deviation either way. Brazil Paulista U20 is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (100%). Provides additional support for this tip.
Rovaniemi vs KuPS Akatemia
1 Finland Ykkonen 4:30 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.4%). No significant deviation either way.
Ibrachina U20 vs Santo Andre U20
1 Brazil Paulista U20 7:00 pm
Supported
Score: 73/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.4%). No significant deviation either way. Brazil Paulista U20 is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (100%). Provides additional support for this tip.
Al Sulaibikhat vs Sporty
1 Kuwait Division 1 6:25 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.4%). No significant deviation either way.
Yarmouk vs Burgan
1 Kuwait Division 1 5:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.4%). No significant deviation either way.
Lyon vs Sparta Prague
1 Champions League Qualifier 8:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.4%). No significant deviation either way.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.



Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 165 settled tips
79.4%
Excellent
Won (131) 79.4%
Lost (34) 20.6%
131W
34L
131
Won
34
Lost
165
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

30-Day Betting Yield (ROI)
+0.75%
Rolling Yield
+1.24 U
Profit (Flat 1U)

Data Processing Transparency
What our model analyzed today
Data Points
12,000+
Matches Scanned
140+
Active Tips
874

* Our proprietary E-A-T system evaluates team chemistry indexes, xG (Expected Goals) differentials, historical referee metrics, and live odds variance before outputting a confidence probability.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
70%
Accuracy
21
Won
9
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
8 Aug 2026Shelbourne W vs Peamount W
Ireland N'League Women
1✓ Won
8 Aug 2026PSV vs Sittard
Eredivisie
1✗ Lost
8 Aug 2026AZ Alkmaar vs Den Haag
Eredivisie
1✓ Won
8 Aug 2026Estrela vs Sporting CP
Portugal Liga
2✗ Lost
8 Aug 2026Sakhnin vs Maccabi Haifa
Israel Toto Cup
2✓ Won
8 Aug 2026Aland Utd W vs Ilves W
Kansallinen Liiga Women
1✓ Won
8 Aug 2026Kauno Zalgiris vs Hegelmann
Lithuania TOPLYGA
1✓ Won
8 Aug 2026Neftchi Fargona vs Qizilqum
Uzbekistan Super League
1✓ Won
6 Aug 2026Salzburg vs Pafos
Europa League Qualifier
1X✓ Won
6 Aug 2026Lech Poznan vs Klaksvik
Europa League Qualifier
1✓ Won

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

Over 2.5 avg 68.9% • range ±3.4%
Steady
65.2%
0-30d
69.6%
30-60d
71.9%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

2 avg 72.4% • range ±3.8%
Steady
68.4%
0-30d
72.7%
30-60d
76%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

1 avg 77.2% • range ±5.2%
Steady
83.7%
0-30d
73.4%
30-60d
74.5%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

1X avg 80.6% • range ±6.5%
Variable
72.7%
0-30d
85.7%
30-60d
83.3%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Over 1.5 avg 78.2% • range ±11.7%
Variable
90%
0-30d
66.7%
30-60d
77.8%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 265 tips
Accuracy 77.4%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 205W / 60L
2
Over 2.5
Volume 78 tips
Accuracy 69.2%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 54W / 24L
3
2
Volume 66 tips
Accuracy 72.7%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 48W / 18L
4
Over 1.5
Volume 56 tips
Accuracy 78.6%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 44W / 12L
5
1X
Volume 36 tips
Accuracy 80.6%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 29W / 7L
6
X2
Volume 5 tips
Accuracy 80%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 4W / 1L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Performance by Market
Over 1.5 Top market
18W / 2L • 20 tips
90%
1 Top market
77W / 15L • 92 tips
83.7%
1X Top market
8W / 3L • 11 tips
72.7%
2 Solid
13W / 6L • 19 tips
68.4%
Over 2.5 Solid
15W / 8L • 23 tips
65.2%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Conference League Qualifiers
0%baseline 85.7%100%
85.7%
recent
+0pp
Lithuania I Lyga
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
+0pp
UCL Qualifiers
0%baseline 50%100%
50%
recent
+0pp
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 80%100%
75%
recent
-5pp
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 76.5%100%
50%
recent
-26.5pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 77.8%100%
33.3%
recent
-44.5pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 79% 83% 84% 74% 68% 75% 65% 76%
1X 86% 92% 67% 90% 71% 80% 82%
2 75% 71% 80% 73% 67% 76% 80% 75%
BTTS
Over 1.5 90% 81% 63% 74% 83% 100% 77%
Over 2.5 73% 67% 70% 71% 67% 69% 100% 70%
X2 67% 83%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

79.4%
30-day win rate
165 verified tips
71.9%
7-Day Rate
131
Tips Won
34
Tips Lost
165
Settled
Full Results →


See More Free Predictions


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18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.