Our model assigns a win probability of 60% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 75.5% over the last 90 days (274 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
75.5% on 160% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 207 wins from 274 settled tips (75.5%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 76%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
FK Minija vs Jonava1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 75.5% over the last 90 days (274 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
75.5% on 150% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 207 wins from 274 settled tips (75.5%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 76%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Viking vs Sandefjord1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 75.5% over the last 90 days (274 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
75.5% on 150% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 207 wins from 274 settled tips (75.5%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 76%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Throttur vs Volsungor1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 75.5% over the last 90 days (274 tips graded). In Iceland Division 1, our record stands at 80% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
75.5% on 150% probability80% in Iceland Division 1
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 207 wins from 274 settled tips (75.5%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 76%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 75.5% over the last 90 days (274 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
75.5% on 150% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 207 wins from 274 settled tips (75.5%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 76%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Marupe vs Metta2
Our model assigns a win probability of 20% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 79.3% over the last 90 days (58 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
79.3% on 220% probability
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 46 wins from 58 settled tips (79.3%). This is above our site-wide average of 76%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
FC Slonim vs Isloch2
Our model assigns a win probability of 20% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 79.3% over the last 90 days (58 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
79.3% on 220% probability
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 46 wins from 58 settled tips (79.3%). This is above our site-wide average of 76%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
At 60%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (75.5%). No significant deviation either way.
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (75.5%). No significant deviation either way.
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (75.5%). No significant deviation either way.
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (75.5%). No significant deviation either way.
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (75.5%). No significant deviation either way.
A stated probability of 20% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (79.3%). No significant deviation either way.
A stated probability of 20% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (79.3%). No significant deviation either way.
Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.
* Our proprietary E-A-T system evaluates team chemistry indexes, xG (Expected Goals) differentials, historical referee metrics, and live odds variance before outputting a confidence probability.
All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.
Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first
A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.
1avg 76.2% • range ±2.1%
Steady
77.5%0-30d
77.7%30-60d
73.5%60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
Over 2.5avg 70% • range ±5.7%
Steady
76.7%0-30d
65.4%30-60d
68%60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
1Xavg 80% • range ±6.7%
Variable
80%0-30d
86.7%30-60d
73.3%60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
2avg 79.5% • range ±7.5%
Variable
73.3%0-30d
76.9%30-60d
88.2%60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
Over 1.5avg 69.2% • range ±10.4%
Variable
72.7%0-30d
77.8%30-60d
57.1%60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).
Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days
Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.
1
1
Volume274 tips
Accuracy75.5%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG207W / 67L
2
Over 2.5
Volume79 tips
Accuracy72.2%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG57W / 22L
3
2
Volume58 tips
Accuracy79.3%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG46W / 12L
4
Over 1.5
Volume46 tips
Accuracy71.7%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG33W / 13L
5
1X
Volume39 tips
Accuracy79.5%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG31W / 8L
6
X2
Volume6 tips
Accuracy83.3%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
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18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.