Winning Prediction Site

Winning Prediction Site


Thu, Mar 28, 2024

No predictions available for this date.

Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Sparta Prague vs Lyon Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 80.8% over the last 90 days (52 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
80.8% on Over 1.5 90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 42 wins from 52 settled tips (80.8%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Mjallby vs Slovan Bratislava Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 80.8% over the last 90 days (52 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
80.8% on Over 1.5 90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 42 wins from 52 settled tips (80.8%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Bournemouth vs Genoa Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 71.8% over the last 90 days (78 tips graded). In Club Friendly, our record stands at 78.6% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
71.8% on Over 2.5 80% probability 78.6% in Club Friendly
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 56 wins from 78 settled tips (71.8%). This is below our site-wide average of 77.7%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Kattaqurgon vs Pakhtakor II 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 76.5% over the last 90 days (277 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
76.5% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 212 wins from 277 settled tips (76.5%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 77.7%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
FarDU vs TerDU 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 76.5% over the last 90 days (277 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
76.5% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 212 wins from 277 settled tips (76.5%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 77.7%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
UNA Strassen vs Victoria Rosport 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 76.5% over the last 90 days (277 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
76.5% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 212 wins from 277 settled tips (76.5%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 77.7%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Dinamo Zagreb vs Kauno Zalgiris 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 76.5% over the last 90 days (277 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
76.5% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 212 wins from 277 settled tips (76.5%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 77.7%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Bohemians WFC W vs Galway United W 2
Our model assigns a win probability of 20% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 75.4% over the last 90 days (65 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
75.4% on 2 20% probability
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 49 wins from 65 settled tips (75.4%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 77.7%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Today's Tips Ranked
Tue 4 Aug 2026 • by win probability
High Conf.
Sparta Prague vs Lyon
Over 1.5 Champions League Qualifier 7:00 pm
90%
prob
High Conf.
Mjallby vs Slovan Bratislava
Over 1.5 Champions League Qualifier 5:00 pm
90%
prob
High Conf.
Bournemouth vs Genoa
Over 2.5 Club Friendly 1:00 pm
80%
prob
Solid Pick
Kattaqurgon vs Pakhtakor II
1 Uzbekistan Pro Liga 4:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
FarDU vs TerDU
1 Uzbekistan Pro Liga 1:30 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
UNA Strassen vs Victoria Rosport
1 Luxembourg BGL Ligue 7:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Dinamo Zagreb vs Kauno Zalgiris
1 Champions League Qualifier 7:00 pm
50%
prob
Speculative
Bohemians WFC W vs Galway United W
2 Ireland N'League Women 7:00 pm
20%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Tuesday • site avg 77.7% • evidence-based
Sparta Prague vs Lyon
Over 1.5 Champions League Qualifier 7:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 83/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (80.8%). No significant deviation either way.
Mjallby vs Slovan Bratislava
Over 1.5 Champions League Qualifier 5:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 83/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (80.8%). No significant deviation either way.
Bournemouth vs Genoa
Over 2.5 Club Friendly 1:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 77/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (71.8%). No significant deviation either way.
Kattaqurgon vs Pakhtakor II
1 Uzbekistan Pro Liga 4:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (76.5%). No significant deviation either way.
FarDU vs TerDU
1 Uzbekistan Pro Liga 1:30 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (76.5%). No significant deviation either way.
UNA Strassen vs Victoria Rosport
1 Luxembourg BGL Ligue 7:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (76.5%). No significant deviation either way.
Dinamo Zagreb vs Kauno Zalgiris
1 Champions League Qualifier 7:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (76.5%). No significant deviation either way.
Bohemians WFC W vs Galway United W
2 Ireland N'League Women 7:00 pm
Marginal
Score: 57/100
A stated probability of 20% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (75.4%). No significant deviation either way.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.



Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 166 settled tips
77.7%
Excellent
Won (129) 77.7%
Lost (37) 22.3%
129W
37L
129
Won
37
Lost
166
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

30-Day Betting Yield (ROI)
-0.99%
Rolling Yield
-1.65 U
Profit (Flat 1U)

Data Processing Transparency
What our model analyzed today
Data Points
12,000+
Matches Scanned
140+
Active Tips
834

* Our proprietary E-A-T system evaluates team chemistry indexes, xG (Expected Goals) differentials, historical referee metrics, and live odds variance before outputting a confidence probability.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
83.3%
Accuracy
25
Won
5
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
3 Aug 2026Celtic vs Dundee FC
Scotland Premiership
Over 2.5✗ Lost
3 Aug 2026Halmstad vs Sirius
Sweden Allsvenskan
2✓ Won
3 Aug 2026Transinvest 2 vs Babrungas
Lithuania I Lyga
2✓ Won
3 Aug 2026Cracovia vs Pogon Szczecin
Poland Ekstraklasa
Over 1.5✓ Won
3 Aug 2026Cork City vs Athlone
Ireland Division 1
1✓ Won
3 Aug 2026Vindbjart vs Odd 2
Norway D3 Group 4
1✓ Won
3 Aug 2026Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kudrivka
Ukraine Premier League
1✓ Won
3 Aug 2026HB Torshavn vs NSI Runavik
Faroe Islands PL
Over 1.5✓ Won
1 Aug 2026Leevon PPK vs Rezekne
Latvia Nakotnes Liga
1✓ Won
1 Aug 2026Cruzeiro W vs Botafogo RJ W
Brasileiro Women
1✓ Won

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

2 avg 76.1% • range ±2.6%
Steady
77.8%
0-30d
77.8%
30-60d
72.7%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

1 avg 76.8% • range ±4%
Steady
78.9%
0-30d
79.8%
30-60d
71.8%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

1X avg 80.1% • range ±7.4%
Variable
72.7%
0-30d
80%
30-60d
87.5%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Over 2.5 avg 71.5% • range ±9.2%
Variable
64.3%
0-30d
82.6%
30-60d
67.7%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Over 1.5 avg 81.8% • range ±14.9%
Volatile
94.7%
0-30d
65%
30-60d
85.7%
60-90d

Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 277 tips
Accuracy 76.5%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 212W / 65L
2
Over 2.5
Volume 78 tips
Accuracy 71.8%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 56W / 22L
3
2
Volume 65 tips
Accuracy 75.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 49W / 16L
4
Over 1.5
Volume 52 tips
Accuracy 80.8%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 42W / 10L
5
1X
Volume 36 tips
Accuracy 80.6%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 29W / 7L
6
X2
Volume 5 tips
Accuracy 80%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 4W / 1L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Performance by Market
Over 1.5 Top market
18W / 1L • 19 tips
94.7%
1 Top market
71W / 19L • 90 tips
78.9%
2 Top market
14W / 4L • 18 tips
77.8%
1X Top market
8W / 3L • 11 tips
72.7%
Over 2.5 Solid
18W / 10L • 28 tips
64.3%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Club Friendly
0%baseline 83.3%100%
83.3%
recent
+0pp
Conference League Qualifiers
0%baseline 85.7%100%
85.7%
recent
+0pp
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 66.7%100%
66.7%
recent
+0pp
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 84.6%100%
83.3%
recent
-1.3pp
Lithuania I Lyga
0%baseline 60%100%
33.3%
recent
-26.7pp
UCL Qualifiers
0%baseline 54.5%100%
0%
recent
-54.5pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 79% 82% 85% 73% 68% 75% 65% 75%
1X 86% 92% 63% 89% 71% 80% 81%
2 75% 77% 80% 73% 67% 80% 80% 76%
BTTS
Over 1.5 90% 79% 67% 77% 83% 100% 78%
Over 2.5 73% 65% 74% 78% 67% 69% 100% 72%
X2 67% 83%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

77.7%
30-day win rate
166 verified tips
76.1%
7-Day Rate
129
Tips Won
37
Tips Lost
166
Settled
Full Results →


See More Free Predictions


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