Winning Prediction Site

Winning Prediction Site


Thu, May 16, 2024

No predictions available for this date.

Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Aarau vs Lausanne Ouchy Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 73.7% over the last 90 days (76 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
73.7% on Over 2.5 80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 56 wins from 76 settled tips (73.7%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 77.4%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Thun vs Young Boys Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 73.7% over the last 90 days (76 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
73.7% on Over 2.5 80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 56 wins from 76 settled tips (73.7%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 77.4%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Valmiera vs RFS 2 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 76.4% over the last 90 days (280 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
76.4% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 214 wins from 280 settled tips (76.4%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 77.4%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Cruzeiro W vs Botafogo RJ W 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 76.4% over the last 90 days (280 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
76.4% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 214 wins from 280 settled tips (76.4%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 77.4%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Leevon PPK vs Rezekne 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 76.4% over the last 90 days (280 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
76.4% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 214 wins from 280 settled tips (76.4%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 77.4%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Talleres (R.E) vs Ituzaingo 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 76.4% over the last 90 days (280 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
76.4% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 214 wins from 280 settled tips (76.4%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 77.4%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 76.4% over the last 90 days (280 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
76.4% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 214 wins from 280 settled tips (76.4%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 77.4%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
FC Gandzasar vs Ararat Armenia 2
Our model assigns a win probability of 20% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 75% over the last 90 days (64 tips graded). In Armenia Premier League, our record stands at 100% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
75% on 2 20% probability 100% in Armenia Premier League
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 48 wins from 64 settled tips (75%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 77.4%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Today's Tips Ranked
Sat 1 Aug 2026 • by win probability
High Conf.
Aarau vs Lausanne Ouchy
Over 2.5 Swiss Challenge League 5:00 pm
80%
prob
High Conf.
Thun vs Young Boys
Over 2.5 Swiss Super League 7:30 pm
80%
prob
Solid Pick
Valmiera vs RFS 2
1 Latvia Nakotnes Liga 12:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Cruzeiro W vs Botafogo RJ W
1 Brasileiro Women 7:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Leevon PPK vs Rezekne
1 Latvia Nakotnes Liga 5:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Talleres (R.E) vs Ituzaingo
1 Argentina Primera B 7:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
1 Bulgaria EFBET League 5:00 pm
50%
prob
Speculative
FC Gandzasar vs Ararat Armenia
2 Armenia Premier League 5:00 pm
20%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Saturday • site avg 77.4% • evidence-based
Aarau vs Lausanne Ouchy
Over 2.5 Swiss Challenge League 5:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 77/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (73.7%). No significant deviation either way.
Thun vs Young Boys
Over 2.5 Swiss Super League 7:30 pm
Strong case
Score: 77/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (73.7%). No significant deviation either way.
Valmiera vs RFS 2
1 Latvia Nakotnes Liga 12:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (76.4%). No significant deviation either way.
Cruzeiro W vs Botafogo RJ W
1 Brasileiro Women 7:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (76.4%). No significant deviation either way.
Leevon PPK vs Rezekne
1 Latvia Nakotnes Liga 5:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (76.4%). No significant deviation either way.
Talleres (R.E) vs Ituzaingo
1 Argentina Primera B 7:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (76.4%). No significant deviation either way.
Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
1 Bulgaria EFBET League 5:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (76.4%). No significant deviation either way.
FC Gandzasar vs Ararat Armenia
2 Armenia Premier League 5:00 pm
Supported
Score: 61/100
A stated probability of 20% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (75%). No significant deviation either way. Armenia Premier League is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (100%). Provides additional support for this tip.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.



Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 164 settled tips
77.4%
Excellent
Won (127) 77.4%
Lost (37) 22.6%
127W
37L
127
Won
37
Lost
164
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

30-Day Betting Yield (ROI)
-1.07%
Rolling Yield
-1.76 U
Profit (Flat 1U)

Data Processing Transparency
What our model analyzed today
Data Points
12,000+
Matches Scanned
140+
Active Tips
818

* Our proprietary E-A-T system evaluates team chemistry indexes, xG (Expected Goals) differentials, historical referee metrics, and live odds variance before outputting a confidence probability.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
73.3%
Accuracy
22
Won
8
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
31 Jul 2026Wil vs Xamax
Swiss Challenge League
Over 2.5✓ Won
31 Jul 2026Bandeirante U20 vs Ibrachina U20
Brazil Paulista U20
2✓ Won
31 Jul 2026Capivariano U20 vs Porto Football U20
Brazil Paulista U20
1✓ Won
31 Jul 2026Essendon Royals SC vs Altona City
Australia Victoria PL 2
1✓ Won
31 Jul 2026Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo
Croatia HNL
1✓ Won
31 Jul 2026Bodo Glimt vs Lillestrom
Norway Eliteserien
1✓ Won
31 Jul 2026Bentleigh Greens vs Oakleigh Cannons
Australia NPL Victoria
2✗ Lost
31 Jul 2026Prospect United vs Blacktown Spartans
Australia NSW League One
2✓ Won
30 Jul 2026Austria Vienna vs FK Liepaja
Conference League Qualifier
Over 2.5✓ Won
30 Jul 2026Braga vs Zeleznicar Pancevo
Conference League Qualifier
1✓ Won

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

1 avg 77% • range ±3.5%
Steady
78%
0-30d
80%
30-60d
73%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 2.5 avg 73.3% • range ±4.1%
Steady
70.4%
0-30d
78.6%
30-60d
70.8%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

2 avg 74.4% • range ±5%
Steady
73.3%
0-30d
80%
30-60d
70%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

1X avg 81.4% • range ±10.1%
Variable
72.7%
0-30d
78.6%
30-60d
92.9%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Over 1.5 avg 75.4% • range ±11.7%
Variable
90%
0-30d
69.6%
30-60d
66.7%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

X2 avg 83.4% • range ±16.7%
Volatile
0-30d
66.7%
30-60d
100%
60-90d

Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 280 tips
Accuracy 76.4%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 214W / 66L
2
Over 2.5
Volume 76 tips
Accuracy 73.7%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 56W / 20L
3
2
Volume 64 tips
Accuracy 75%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 48W / 16L
4
Over 1.5
Volume 51 tips
Accuracy 78.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 40W / 11L
5
1X
Volume 36 tips
Accuracy 80.6%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 29W / 7L
6
X2
Volume 6 tips
Accuracy 83.3%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 5W / 1L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Performance by Market
Over 1.5 Top market
18W / 2L • 20 tips
90%
1 Top market
71W / 20L • 91 tips
78%
2 Top market
11W / 4L • 15 tips
73.3%
1X Top market
8W / 3L • 11 tips
72.7%
Over 2.5 Top market
19W / 8L • 27 tips
70.4%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Argentina Primera Women
0%baseline 83.3%100%
83.3%
recent
+0pp
China Super League
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
+0pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 83.3%100%
83.3%
recent
+0pp
Conference League Qualifiers
0%baseline 85.7%100%
85.7%
recent
+0pp
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 66.7%100%
66.7%
recent
+0pp
World Cup 2026
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
+0pp
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 84.6%100%
83.3%
recent
-1.3pp
UCL Qualifiers
0%baseline 54.5%100%
0%
recent
-54.5pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 77% 82% 85% 73% 68% 74% 65% 75%
1X 86% 92% 63% 89% 71% 80% 81%
2 71% 77% 80% 73% 67% 79% 80% 75%
BTTS
Over 1.5 88% 79% 67% 77% 83% 100% 78%
Over 2.5 79% 65% 74% 78% 67% 73% 100% 73%
X2 67% 83%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

77.4%
30-day win rate
164 verified tips
75%
7-Day Rate
127
Tips Won
37
Tips Lost
164
Settled
Full Results →


See More Free Predictions


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