Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 73.7% over the last 90 days (76 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
73.7% on Over 2.580% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 56 wins from 76 settled tips (73.7%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 76.5%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Bodo Glimt vs Lillestrom1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 76.2% over the last 90 days (281 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
76.2% on 150% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 214 wins from 281 settled tips (76.2%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 76.5%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Essendon Royals SC vs Altona City1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 76.2% over the last 90 days (281 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
76.2% on 150% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 214 wins from 281 settled tips (76.2%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 76.5%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 76.2% over the last 90 days (281 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
76.2% on 150% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 214 wins from 281 settled tips (76.2%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 76.5%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Capivariano U20 vs Porto Football U201
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 76.2% over the last 90 days (281 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
76.2% on 150% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 214 wins from 281 settled tips (76.2%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 76.5%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Bandeirante U20 vs Ibrachina U202
Our model assigns a win probability of 20% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 75.4% over the last 90 days (61 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
75.4% on 220% probability
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 46 wins from 61 settled tips (75.4%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 76.5%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Bentleigh Greens vs Oakleigh Cannons2
Our model assigns a win probability of 20% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 75.4% over the last 90 days (61 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
75.4% on 220% probability
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 46 wins from 61 settled tips (75.4%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 76.5%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Prospect United vs Blacktown Spartans2
Our model assigns a win probability of 20% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 75.4% over the last 90 days (61 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
75.4% on 220% probability
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 46 wins from 61 settled tips (75.4%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 76.5%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (73.7%). No significant deviation either way.
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (76.2%). No significant deviation either way.
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (76.2%). No significant deviation either way.
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (76.2%). No significant deviation either way.
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (76.2%). No significant deviation either way.
A stated probability of 20% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (75.4%). No significant deviation either way.
A stated probability of 20% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (75.4%). No significant deviation either way.
A stated probability of 20% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (75.4%). No significant deviation either way.
Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.
* Our proprietary E-A-T system evaluates team chemistry indexes, xG (Expected Goals) differentials, historical referee metrics, and live odds variance before outputting a confidence probability.
All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.
Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first
A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.
1avg 76.9% • range ±3.3%
Steady
77.3%0-30d
80%30-60d
73.5%60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
Over 2.5avg 72.3% • range ±3.6%
Steady
67.9%0-30d
74.1%30-60d
75%60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
2avg 73.6% • range ±4.5%
Steady
75%0-30d
77.4%30-60d
68.4%60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
1Xavg 79.5% • range ±6%
Steady
72.7%0-30d
81.3%30-60d
84.6%60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
Over 1.5avg 75.5% • range ±10.2%
Variable
87%0-30d
72.7%30-60d
66.7%60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
X2avg 83.4% • range ±16.7%
Volatile
—0-30d
66.7%30-60d
100%60-90d
Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.
Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).
Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days
Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.
1
1
Volume281 tips
Accuracy76.2%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG214W / 67L
2
Over 2.5
Volume76 tips
Accuracy73.7%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG56W / 20L
3
2
Volume61 tips
Accuracy75.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG46W / 15L
4
Over 1.5
Volume51 tips
Accuracy78.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG40W / 11L
5
1X
Volume38 tips
Accuracy78.9%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG30W / 8L
6
X2
Volume6 tips
Accuracy83.3%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
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