Winning Prediction Site

Winning Prediction Site


Sun, Jul 14, 2024

No predictions available for this date.

Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sheriff Tiraspol Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 77.1% over the last 90 days (48 tips graded). In Europa League Qualifier, our record stands at 57.1% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
77.1% on Over 1.5 90% probability 57.1% in Europa League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 37 wins from 48 settled tips (77.1%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Atletic Escaldes vs Vaduz Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 77.1% over the last 90 days (48 tips graded). In Conference League Qualifier, our record stands at 85.7% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
77.1% on Over 1.5 90% probability 85.7% in Conference League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 37 wins from 48 settled tips (77.1%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Ferencvaros vs Twente Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 77.1% over the last 90 days (48 tips graded). In Europa League Qualifier, our record stands at 57.1% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
77.1% on Over 1.5 90% probability 57.1% in Europa League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 37 wins from 48 settled tips (77.1%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Austria Vienna vs FK Liepaja Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 73.3% over the last 90 days (75 tips graded). In Conference League Qualifier, our record stands at 85.7% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
73.3% on Over 2.5 80% probability 85.7% in Conference League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 55 wins from 75 settled tips (73.3%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 75.8%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Braga vs Zeleznicar Pancevo 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 60% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 76.2% over the last 90 days (281 tips graded). In Conference League Qualifier, our record stands at 85.7% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
76.2% on 1 60% probability 85.7% in Conference League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 214 wins from 281 settled tips (76.2%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Panathinaikos vs Paks 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 76.2% over the last 90 days (281 tips graded). In Conference League Qualifier, our record stands at 85.7% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
76.2% on 1 50% probability 85.7% in Conference League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 214 wins from 281 settled tips (76.2%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Benfica vs St Gallen 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 76.2% over the last 90 days (281 tips graded). In Conference League Qualifier, our record stands at 85.7% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
76.2% on 1 50% probability 85.7% in Conference League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 214 wins from 281 settled tips (76.2%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Noah vs Zimbru Chisinau 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 76.2% over the last 90 days (281 tips graded). In Conference League Qualifier, our record stands at 85.7% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
76.2% on 1 50% probability 85.7% in Conference League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 214 wins from 281 settled tips (76.2%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Today's Tips Ranked
Thu 30 Jul 2026 • by win probability
High Conf.
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sheriff Tiraspol
Over 1.5 Europa League Qualifier 5:00 pm
90%
prob
High Conf.
Atletic Escaldes vs Vaduz
Over 1.5 Conference League Qualifier 3:00 pm
90%
prob
High Conf.
Ferencvaros vs Twente
Over 1.5 Europa League Qualifier 7:30 pm
90%
prob
High Conf.
Austria Vienna vs FK Liepaja
Over 2.5 Conference League Qualifier 7:30 pm
80%
prob
Solid Pick
Braga vs Zeleznicar Pancevo
1 Conference League Qualifier 8:00 pm
60%
prob
Solid Pick
Panathinaikos vs Paks
1 Conference League Qualifier 7:30 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Benfica vs St Gallen
1 Conference League Qualifier 8:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Noah vs Zimbru Chisinau
1 Conference League Qualifier 5:00 pm
50%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Thursday • site avg 75.8% • evidence-based
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sheriff Tiraspol
Over 1.5 Europa League Qualifier 5:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 77/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (77.1%). No significant deviation either way. Europa League Qualifier has been a difficult competition in the historical record (57.1%). Factor this into your assessment.
Atletic Escaldes vs Vaduz
Over 1.5 Conference League Qualifier 3:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 83/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (77.1%). No significant deviation either way. Conference League Qualifier is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (85.7%). Provides additional support for this tip.
Ferencvaros vs Twente
Over 1.5 Europa League Qualifier 7:30 pm
Strong case
Score: 77/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (77.1%). No significant deviation either way. Europa League Qualifier has been a difficult competition in the historical record (57.1%). Factor this into your assessment.
Austria Vienna vs FK Liepaja
Over 2.5 Conference League Qualifier 7:30 pm
Strong case
Score: 78/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (73.3%). No significant deviation either way. Conference League Qualifier is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (85.7%). Provides additional support for this tip.
Braga vs Zeleznicar Pancevo
1 Conference League Qualifier 8:00 pm
Supported
Score: 72/100
At 60%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (76.2%). No significant deviation either way. Conference League Qualifier is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (85.7%). Provides additional support for this tip.
Panathinaikos vs Paks
1 Conference League Qualifier 7:30 pm
Supported
Score: 69/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (76.2%). No significant deviation either way. Conference League Qualifier is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (85.7%). Provides additional support for this tip.
Benfica vs St Gallen
1 Conference League Qualifier 8:00 pm
Supported
Score: 69/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (76.2%). No significant deviation either way. Conference League Qualifier is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (85.7%). Provides additional support for this tip.
Noah vs Zimbru Chisinau
1 Conference League Qualifier 5:00 pm
Supported
Score: 69/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (76.2%). No significant deviation either way. Conference League Qualifier is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (85.7%). Provides additional support for this tip.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.



Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 161 settled tips
75.8%
Excellent
Won (122) 75.8%
Lost (39) 24.2%
122W
39L
122
Won
39
Lost
161
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

30-Day Betting Yield (ROI)
-2.96%
Rolling Yield
-4.76 U
Profit (Flat 1U)

Data Processing Transparency
What our model analyzed today
Data Points
12,000+
Matches Scanned
140+
Active Tips
802

* Our proprietary E-A-T system evaluates team chemistry indexes, xG (Expected Goals) differentials, historical referee metrics, and live odds variance before outputting a confidence probability.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
70%
Accuracy
21
Won
9
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
29 Jul 2026Breidablik W vs Thor/KA W
Iceland Besta deild Women
1✓ Won
29 Jul 2026Slovan Bratislava vs Iberia 1999
UCL Qualifiers
1✗ Lost
29 Jul 2026Bayern Leverkusen vs Genk
Club Friendly
Over 2.5✓ Won
29 Jul 2026FC Copenhagen vs Polissya Zhytomyr
Conference League Qualifiers
Over 1.5✓ Won
29 Jul 2026Fylkir vs Volsungor
Iceland Division 1
1✓ Won
29 Jul 2026Persebaya vs PSMS Medan
Indonesia President Cup
1✓ Won
29 Jul 2026Lech Poznan vs Aarhus
UCL Qualifiers
1X✗ Lost
28 Jul 2026Chelsea vs WS Wanderers
Club Friendly
1✓ Won
28 Jul 2026Dainava Alytus vs Transinvest 2
Lithuania I Lyga
1✗ Lost
28 Jul 2026Nigeria W vs Malawi W
ACN Women
1✗ Lost

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

2 avg 74.9% • range ±2.6%
Steady
75%
0-30d
77.4%
30-60d
72.2%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

1 avg 76.6% • range ±3.6%
Steady
77.3%
0-30d
79.8%
30-60d
72.6%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 2.5 avg 74.1% • range ±5.2%
Steady
67.9%
0-30d
76%
30-60d
78.3%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

1X avg 74.4% • range ±6.1%
Variable
72.7%
0-30d
81.3%
30-60d
69.2%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Over 1.5 avg 74.1% • range ±7.6%
Variable
81.8%
0-30d
73.7%
30-60d
66.7%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

X2 avg 83.4% • range ±16.7%
Volatile
0-30d
66.7%
30-60d
100%
60-90d

Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 281 tips
Accuracy 76.2%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 214W / 67L
2
Over 2.5
Volume 75 tips
Accuracy 73.3%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 55W / 20L
3
2
Volume 61 tips
Accuracy 75.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 46W / 15L
4
Over 1.5
Volume 48 tips
Accuracy 77.1%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 37W / 11L
5
1X
Volume 40 tips
Accuracy 75%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 30W / 10L
6
X2
Volume 6 tips
Accuracy 83.3%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 5W / 1L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Performance by Market
Over 1.5 Top market
18W / 4L • 22 tips
81.8%
1 Top market
68W / 20L • 88 tips
77.3%
2 Top market
9W / 3L • 12 tips
75%
1X Top market
8W / 3L • 11 tips
72.7%
Over 2.5 Solid
19W / 9L • 28 tips
67.9%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Argentina Primera Women
0%baseline 83.3%100%
83.3%
recent
+0pp
China Super League
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
+0pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 76.9%100%
76.9%
recent
+0pp
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 85.7%100%
85.7%
recent
+0pp
Conference League Qualifiers
0%baseline 85.7%100%
85.7%
recent
+0pp
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 57.1%100%
57.1%
recent
+0pp
World Cup 2026
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
+0pp
UCL Qualifiers
0%baseline 54.5%100%
0%
recent
-54.5pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 77% 82% 85% 73% 65% 74% 65% 75%
1X 86% 92% 63% 89% 71% 80% 81%
2 71% 77% 80% 73% 67% 79% 80% 76%
BTTS
Over 1.5 88% 79% 67% 74% 83% 100% 77%
Over 2.5 79% 65% 74% 76% 64% 73% 100% 72%
X2 67% 83%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

75.8%
30-day win rate
161 verified tips
69.8%
7-Day Rate
122
Tips Won
39
Tips Lost
161
Settled
Full Results →


See More Free Predictions


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