Winning Prediction Site

Winning Prediction Site


Tue, Mar 4, 2025

No predictions available for this date.

Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
France vs Morocco Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 72.1% over the last 90 days (43 tips graded). In World Cup 2026, our record stands at 94.4% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
72.1% on Over 1.5 90% probability 94.4% in World Cup 2026
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 31 wins from 43 settled tips (72.1%). This is below our site-wide average of 78.4%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Unterhaching vs Regensburg Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 73.1% over the last 90 days (67 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
73.1% on Over 2.5 90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 49 wins from 67 settled tips (73.1%). This is below our site-wide average of 78.4%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Kalju vs Linfield Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 72.1% over the last 90 days (43 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
72.1% on Over 1.5 90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 31 wins from 43 settled tips (72.1%). This is below our site-wide average of 78.4%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Hafnarfjordur W vs Throttur W 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 74.9% over the last 90 days (287 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
74.9% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 215 wins from 287 settled tips (74.9%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 78.4%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
CSKA Sofia vs Derry City 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 74.9% over the last 90 days (287 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
74.9% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 215 wins from 287 settled tips (74.9%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 78.4%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Dyn. Kyiv vs U. Cluj 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 74.9% over the last 90 days (287 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
74.9% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 215 wins from 287 settled tips (74.9%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 78.4%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Aluminij 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 74.9% over the last 90 days (287 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
74.9% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 215 wins from 287 settled tips (74.9%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 78.4%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Today's Tips Ranked
Thu 9 Jul 2026 • by win probability
High Conf.
France vs Morocco
Over 1.5 World Cup 2026 9:00 pm
90%
prob
High Conf.
Unterhaching vs Regensburg
Over 2.5 Club Friendly 10:00 am
90%
prob
High Conf.
Kalju vs Linfield
Over 1.5 Conference League Qualifier 5:00 pm
90%
prob
Solid Pick
Hafnarfjordur W vs Throttur W
1 Iceland Besta deild Women 8:15 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
CSKA Sofia vs Derry City
1 Europa League Qualifier 7:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Dyn. Kyiv vs U. Cluj
1 Europa League Qualifier 6:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Aluminij
1 Europa League Qualifier 6:00 pm
50%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Thursday • site avg 78.4% • evidence-based
France vs Morocco
Over 1.5 World Cup 2026 9:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 83/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (72.1%). No significant deviation either way. World Cup 2026 is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (94.4%). Provides additional support for this tip.
Unterhaching vs Regensburg
Over 2.5 Club Friendly 10:00 am
Strong case
Score: 81/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (73.1%). No significant deviation either way.
Kalju vs Linfield
Over 1.5 Conference League Qualifier 5:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 80/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (72.1%). No significant deviation either way.
Hafnarfjordur W vs Throttur W
1 Iceland Besta deild Women 8:15 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (74.9%). No significant deviation either way.
CSKA Sofia vs Derry City
1 Europa League Qualifier 7:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (74.9%). No significant deviation either way.
Dyn. Kyiv vs U. Cluj
1 Europa League Qualifier 6:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (74.9%). No significant deviation either way.
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Aluminij
1 Europa League Qualifier 6:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (74.9%). No significant deviation either way.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.



Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 148 settled tips
78.4%
Excellent
Won (116) 78.4%
Lost (32) 21.6%
116W
32L
116
Won
32
Lost
148
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

30-Day Betting Yield (ROI)
+0.57%
Rolling Yield
+0.84 U
Profit (Flat 1U)

Data Processing Transparency
What our model analyzed today
Data Points
12,000+
Matches Scanned
140+
Active Tips
678

* Our proprietary E-A-T system evaluates team chemistry indexes, xG (Expected Goals) differentials, historical referee metrics, and live odds variance before outputting a confidence probability.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
80%
Accuracy
24
Won
6
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
7 Jul 2026Hvidovre vs F Amager
Club Friendly
Over 2.5✓ Won
7 Jul 2026Monaro Panthers vs Queanbeyan City
Australia NPL ACT
1X✓ Won
7 Jul 2026Argentina vs Egypt
World Cup 2026
1✓ Won
7 Jul 2026Legia vs Beer Sheva
Club Friendly
Over 2.5✓ Won
7 Jul 2026Spain U19 W vs Sweden U19 W
Euro U19 Women
1✓ Won
7 Jul 2026UNA Strassen vs La Florita
Conference League Qualifier
1✓ Won
4 Jul 2026Sandur vs HB Torshavn 2
Faroe Islands 1. Deild
1✗ Lost
4 Jul 2026San Lorenzo W vs Independiente W
Argentina Primera Women
1✓ Won
4 Jul 2026Racing Club W vs Huracan W
Argentina Primera Women
1✓ Won
4 Jul 2026Spain U19 vs Germany U19
Euro U19
Over 1.5✓ Won

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

1 avg 75.4% • range ±3.6%
Steady
79.7%
0-30d
72.5%
30-60d
74%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 1.5 avg 72.2% • range ±6.7%
Variable
66.7%
0-30d
80%
30-60d
70%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

2 avg 78% • range ±6.9%
Variable
72.7%
0-30d
75%
30-60d
86.4%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Over 2.5 avg 74.8% • range ±11.1%
Variable
88.9%
0-30d
68.8%
30-60d
66.7%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

1X avg 79% • range ±11.1%
Variable
88.9%
0-30d
81.3%
30-60d
66.7%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 287 tips
Accuracy 74.9%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 215W / 72L
2
2
Volume 67 tips
Accuracy 77.6%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 52W / 15L
3
Over 2.5
Volume 67 tips
Accuracy 73.1%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 49W / 18L
4
Over 1.5
Volume 43 tips
Accuracy 72.1%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 31W / 12L
5
1X
Volume 37 tips
Accuracy 78.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 29W / 8L
6
X2
Volume 6 tips
Accuracy 83.3%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 5W / 1L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Performance by Market
1X Top market
8W / 1L • 9 tips
88.9%
Over 2.5 Top market
16W / 2L • 18 tips
88.9%
1 Top market
63W / 16L • 79 tips
79.7%
2 Top market
16W / 6L • 22 tips
72.7%
Over 1.5 Solid
12W / 6L • 18 tips
66.7%
X2 Average
1W / 1L • 2 tips
50%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Brasileiro U20
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
+0pp
Euro WCQ Women
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
+0pp
World Cup 2026
0%baseline 94.4%100%
94.4%
recent
+0pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 76% 85% 83% 71% 65% 75% 65% 75%
1X 78% 100% 71% 100% 67% 80% 83%
2 69% 82% 82% 78% 63% 75% 80% 76%
BTTS
Over 1.5 86% 70% 58% 75% 80% 100% 73%
Over 2.5 85% 67% 67% 80% 78% 70% 100% 75%
X2 67% 83%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

78.4%
30-day win rate
148 verified tips
85%
7-Day Rate
116
Tips Won
32
Tips Lost
148
Settled
Full Results →


See More Free Predictions


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Real Match Scenarios That Prove the Work Behind the Predictions

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