Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, 1X tips have settled at 79.4% over the last 90 days (34 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
79.4% on 1X80% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1X tips have returned 27 wins from 34 settled tips (79.4%). This is above our site-wide average of 78.5%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Jong Utrecht vs HeraclesOver 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 79% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 67.6% over the last 90 days (74 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
67.6% on Over 2.579% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 50 wins from 74 settled tips (67.6%). This is below our site-wide average of 78.5%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Fulham vs ChelseaOver 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 79% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 77.4% over the last 90 days (62 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.4% on Over 1.579% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 48 wins from 62 settled tips (77.4%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 78.5%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Young Africans vs JKT Tanzania1
Our model assigns a win probability of 62% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 80.2% over the last 90 days (258 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
80.2% on 162% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 207 wins from 258 settled tips (80.2%). This is above our site-wide average of 78.5%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Levadia U19 vs Legion1
Our model assigns a win probability of 62% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 80.2% over the last 90 days (258 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
80.2% on 162% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 207 wins from 258 settled tips (80.2%). This is above our site-wide average of 78.5%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Patriotas vs Atletico FC1
Our model assigns a win probability of 52% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 80.2% over the last 90 days (258 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
80.2% on 152% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 207 wins from 258 settled tips (80.2%). This is above our site-wide average of 78.5%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Pari NN vs SKA Khabarovsk1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 80.2% over the last 90 days (258 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
80.2% on 150% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 207 wins from 258 settled tips (80.2%). This is above our site-wide average of 78.5%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Inter Palmira W vs Atl. Nacional W2
Our model assigns a win probability of 19% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 77.6% over the last 90 days (67 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.6% on 219% probability
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 52 wins from 67 settled tips (77.6%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 78.5%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. 1X is running in line with the site average (79.4%). No significant deviation either way.
The stated probability of 79% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 has tracked below the site-wide average over 90 days (67.6%). This reduces the overall confidence rating.
The stated probability of 79% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (77.4%). No significant deviation either way.
At 62%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (80.2%). No significant deviation either way.
At 62%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (80.2%). No significant deviation either way.
A stated probability of 52% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (80.2%). No significant deviation either way.
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (80.2%). No significant deviation either way.
A stated probability of 19% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (77.6%). No significant deviation either way.
Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.
* Our proprietary E-A-T system evaluates team chemistry indexes, xG (Expected Goals) differentials, historical referee metrics, and live odds variance before outputting a confidence probability.
All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.
Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first
A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.
1avg 79.8% • range ±2.4%
Steady
81.7%0-30d
76.9%30-60d
80.7%60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
Over 2.5avg 66.4% • range ±2.7%
Steady
63.6%0-30d
69%30-60d
66.7%60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
2avg 76.7% • range ±4.2%
Steady
81%0-30d
76.5%30-60d
72.7%60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
1Xavg 77.8% • range ±4.2%
Steady
75%0-30d
75%30-60d
83.3%60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
Over 1.5avg 77.6% • range ±5.6%
Steady
78.9%0-30d
82.6%30-60d
71.4%60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).
Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days
Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.
1
1
Volume258 tips
Accuracy80.2%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG207W / 51L
2
Over 2.5
Volume74 tips
Accuracy67.6%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG50W / 24L
3
2
Volume67 tips
Accuracy77.6%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG52W / 15L
4
Over 1.5
Volume62 tips
Accuracy77.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG48W / 14L
5
1X
Volume34 tips
Accuracy79.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG27W / 7L
6
X2
Volume3 tips
Accuracy66.7%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
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