Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 69.4% over the last 90 days (72 tips graded). In Club Friendly, our record stands at 62.5% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
69.4% on Over 2.590% probability62.5% in Club Friendly
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 50 wins from 72 settled tips (69.4%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 72.7%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Levski Sofia vs Borac Banja LukaOver 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 71.1% over the last 90 days (45 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
71.1% on Over 1.580% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 32 wins from 45 settled tips (71.1%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 72.7%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Zhejiang Professional vs Qingdao HainiuOver 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 69.4% over the last 90 days (72 tips graded). In China Super League, our record stands at 80% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
69.4% on Over 2.580% probability80% in China Super League
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 50 wins from 72 settled tips (69.4%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 72.7%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
KUPS vs Vardar1X
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, 1X tips have settled at 78.9% over the last 90 days (38 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.9% on 1X80% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1X tips have returned 30 wins from 38 settled tips (78.9%). This is above our site-wide average of 72.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
France vs SpainOver 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 71.1% over the last 90 days (45 tips graded). In World Cup 2026, our record stands at 95% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
71.1% on Over 1.580% probability95% in World Cup 2026
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 32 wins from 45 settled tips (71.1%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 72.7%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Real Oruro vs Always ReadyOver 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 69.4% over the last 90 days (72 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
69.4% on Over 2.580% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 50 wins from 72 settled tips (69.4%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 72.7%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Larne vs Tre Flori1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 73.9% over the last 90 days (283 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
73.9% on 150% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 209 wins from 283 settled tips (73.9%). This is above our site-wide average of 72.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (69.4%). No significant deviation either way. Club Friendly has been a difficult competition in the historical record (62.5%). Factor this into your assessment. Tuesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (71.1%). No significant deviation either way. Tuesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (69.4%). No significant deviation either way. China Super League is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (80%). Provides additional support for this tip. Tuesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. 1X is running in line with the site average (78.9%). No significant deviation either way. Tuesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (71.1%). No significant deviation either way. World Cup 2026 is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (95%). Provides additional support for this tip. Tuesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (69.4%). No significant deviation either way. Tuesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (73.9%). No significant deviation either way. Tuesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.
* Our proprietary E-A-T system evaluates team chemistry indexes, xG (Expected Goals) differentials, historical referee metrics, and live odds variance before outputting a confidence probability.
All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.
Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first
A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.
Over 2.5avg 70.2% • range ±0.7%
Steady
69.6%0-30d
71%30-60d
70%60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
1avg 74.3% • range ±1%
Steady
73.6%0-30d
75.5%30-60d
73.9%60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
Over 1.5avg 70.4% • range ±5.6%
Steady
66.7%0-30d
77.8%30-60d
66.7%60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
1Xavg 80.1% • range ±7.2%
Variable
85.7%0-30d
83.3%30-60d
71.4%60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
2avg 77.8% • range ±8.2%
Variable
76.2%0-30d
70.4%30-60d
86.7%60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).
Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days
Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.
1
1
Volume283 tips
Accuracy73.9%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG209W / 74L
2
Over 2.5
Volume72 tips
Accuracy69.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG50W / 22L
3
2
Volume60 tips
Accuracy78.3%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG47W / 13L
4
Over 1.5
Volume45 tips
Accuracy71.1%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG32W / 13L
5
1X
Volume38 tips
Accuracy78.9%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG30W / 8L
6
X2
Volume6 tips
Accuracy83.3%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
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