Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 72.9% over the last 90 days (48 tips graded). In Club Friendly, our record stands at 66.7% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
72.9% on Over 1.590% probability66.7% in Club Friendly
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 35 wins from 48 settled tips (72.9%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 74.5%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Charlestown Azzurri vs Weston BearsOver 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 70.7% over the last 90 days (75 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
70.7% on Over 2.580% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 53 wins from 75 settled tips (70.7%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 74.5%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Patro Eisden vs St TruidenOver 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 70.7% over the last 90 days (75 tips graded). In Club Friendly, our record stands at 66.7% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
70.7% on Over 2.580% probability66.7% in Club Friendly
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 53 wins from 75 settled tips (70.7%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 74.5%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Lyon vs ServetteOver 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 70.7% over the last 90 days (75 tips graded). In Club Friendly, our record stands at 66.7% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
70.7% on Over 2.580% probability66.7% in Club Friendly
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 53 wins from 75 settled tips (70.7%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 74.5%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Univ Craiova vs ML Vitebsk1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 74% over the last 90 days (281 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
74% on 150% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 208 wins from 281 settled tips (74%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 74.5%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Breidablik W vs Vikingur Reykjavik W1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 74% over the last 90 days (281 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
74% on 150% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 208 wins from 281 settled tips (74%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 74.5%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Ordabasy vs Altai1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 74% over the last 90 days (281 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
74% on 150% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 208 wins from 281 settled tips (74%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 74.5%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (72.9%). No significant deviation either way. Club Friendly has been a difficult competition in the historical record (66.7%). Factor this into your assessment.
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (70.7%). No significant deviation either way.
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (70.7%). No significant deviation either way. Club Friendly has been a difficult competition in the historical record (66.7%). Factor this into your assessment.
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (70.7%). No significant deviation either way. Club Friendly has been a difficult competition in the historical record (66.7%). Factor this into your assessment.
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (74%). No significant deviation either way.
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (74%). No significant deviation either way.
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (74%). No significant deviation either way.
Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.
* Our proprietary E-A-T system evaluates team chemistry indexes, xG (Expected Goals) differentials, historical referee metrics, and live odds variance before outputting a confidence probability.
All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.
Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first
A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.
1avg 73.7% • range ±1.1%
Steady
73.9%0-30d
74.7%30-60d
72.5%60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
Over 2.5avg 71.2% • range ±2.1%
Steady
73.1%0-30d
69%30-60d
71.4%60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
1Xavg 79.7% • range ±3.7%
Steady
81.8%0-30d
82.4%30-60d
75%60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
Over 1.5avg 72% • range ±5.6%
Steady
71.4%0-30d
77.8%30-60d
66.7%60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
2avg 79.6% • range ±7.4%
Variable
80%0-30d
72%30-60d
86.7%60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).
Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days
Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.
1
1
Volume281 tips
Accuracy74%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG208W / 73L
2
Over 2.5
Volume75 tips
Accuracy70.7%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG53W / 22L
3
2
Volume60 tips
Accuracy78.3%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG47W / 13L
4
Over 1.5
Volume48 tips
Accuracy72.9%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG35W / 13L
5
1X
Volume40 tips
Accuracy80%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG32W / 8L
6
X2
Volume6 tips
Accuracy83.3%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
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