🏆 ✓ TIP WON Erbil 3-1 Baghdad
⚡ Today's Best Picks for this Match
🎯 156% 📊 Over 1.5 Goals85%
🏆 Iraq Stars League 📅 Tuesday, 2nd June 2026
E
Erbil
W W L W D
3-1
FT
B
Baghdad
L W L L D
Expert Prediction
Prediction Model
1
Backing Erbil to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.43
decimal
Confidence
56%
Solid Pick
H 50% D 30% A 20%
📈 Value Edge
-14%
Negative Edge
Our model gives this a 56% probability, while the current odds imply 70%. Bookmakers are pricing this higher than our model.
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⚡ Supporting Bets
Main pick
1 — Erbil to win
@1.43
Over 1.5 Goals85%
⚔️ Head to Head
5
Erbil
2
Draws
3
Baghdad
Mixed Erbil won 5 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊 Team Statistics
Erbil Baghdad
1.9 Goals / Game 1.4
0.8 Conceded / Game 1.8
40% Clean Sheets 0%
7-2-1 W-D-L 2-4-4
Win Rate Comparison
70% 20%
📈 Form Ratings
Erbil
Overall
7.6
Scoring
6.3
Defence
7.3
Baghdad
Overall
3.2
Scoring
4.7
Defence
4.0
🔀 Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 38%
Home Win & BTTS No 20%
Draw & BTTS Yes 16%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 32%
Home Win & Under 2.5 26%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
📜 Match History
Head to Head
31.01.26SL
Baghdad
3
Erbil
0
26.05.24SL
Baghdad
1
Erbil
3
29.02.24SL
Erbil
4
Baghdad
1
15.02.22SL
Baghdad
1
Erbil
1
26.09.21SL
Erbil
1
Baghdad
2
24.02.21SL
Erbil
2
Baghdad
2
26.10.20SL
Baghdad
0
Erbil
2
17.06.19SL
Baghdad
2
Erbil
0
18.12.18SL
Erbil
2
Baghdad
0
06.12.16SL
Baghdad
1
Erbil
2
Recent Results
Erbil
28.05.26SL
Zakho
1
Erbil
2
W
20.05.26SL
Al Shorta
0
Erbil
2
W
16.05.26SL
Erbil
0
Newroz
1
L
11.05.26SL
Al Najaf
1
Erbil
4
W
06.05.26SL
Erbil
2
Al Kahraba
2
D
02.05.26SL
Erbil
1
Al Karkh
0
W
27.04.26SL
Al Talaba
2
Erbil
3
W
23.04.26SL
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1
Erbil
1
D
18.04.26SL
Erbil
2
Al-Qassim
0
W
14.04.26SL
Al Naft
0
Erbil
2
W
Baghdad
27.05.26SL
Baghdad
1
Al Gharraf
3
L
19.05.26SL
Diyala
1
Baghdad
4
W
15.05.26SL
Baghdad
0
Al Kahraba
1
L
11.05.26SL
Al Karkh
2
Baghdad
1
L
07.05.26SL
Al Najaf
1
Baghdad
1
D
02.05.26SL
Baghdad
2
Al-Qassim
2
D
26.04.26SL
Baghdad
2
Al Zawraa
2
D
21.04.26SL
Al Minaa
4
Baghdad
0
L
17.04.26SL
Al Mosul
1
Baghdad
1
D
12.04.26SL
Baghdad
2
Duhok
1
W
📝 Tactical Analysis

On Tuesday, 2nd June 2026, Erbil host Baghdad in Iraq Stars League. Our analysis points to Erbil to win as the standout bet.

Erbil come into this in strong form, with 7W 2D 1L from 10 matches.

Baghdad are struggling away — 2W 4D 4L in 10 games.

H2H: Erbil won 5 of 10 meetings vs Baghdad's 3, 2 draws. BTTS in 60%.

With all factors considered, erbil to win at 1.43 represents the strongest value angle here.


Finding highly profitable betting chances means you have to sit down and crunch the numbers, and this Iraq Stars League fixture provides a fantastic opening for smart money. The secret to winning is to detach emotionally and focus entirely on the stats that actually matter. The hosts’ current profile is our first stop on the breakdown.

Their general form anchors the market, but the immediate form guide is where the real betting value lives. Breaking down their recent performances highlights their exact threat level and the defensive gaps they are showing today. The visitors offer their own statistical puzzle to solve.

It is essential to compare their extended form with the immediate spark shown in their last few games to establish if they are undervalued by the oddsmakers right now. Past head-to-heads provide another crucial layer of betting insight. The historical data frequently highlights recurring setups or psychological edges that disrupt standard pricing.

Merging these historical facts with current form generates a highly dependable pick that you can trust. After assessing the board, the prime bet really stands out. Our primary choice is 1, which is the smartest play available, perfectly aligned with the current @1.43 odds.

With the match about to kick off, the analysis is locked in. The final score will serve as the ultimate judge of our statistical read. Use our other daily tips to build your slips.

❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the best betting tip for Erbil vs Baghdad?
Our pick is 1 — Erbil to win at odds of ~1.43. Our prediction engine gives this a 56% confidence rating.
How has Erbil performed in their recent matches?
Erbil heads into this fixture with a record of 7W 2D 1L from their last 10 games.
What is the recent form of Baghdad?
Baghdad has recorded 2W 4D 4L across their last 10 matches.
What is the Head-to-Head (H2H) record between Erbil and Baghdad?
In their last 10 meetings, Erbil has won 5 times, Baghdad has won 3 times, and there have been 2 draws.
Are we expecting a high-scoring match (Over/Under 2.5 Goals)?
Recent matches involving these teams average 3 goals per game. Furthermore, BTTS has landed in 60% of their previous H2H encounters.
Is there value in the odds for this prediction?
At 56% confidence, the odds are fairly priced. Consider it as part of an accumulator rather than a standalone.
What time does Erbil vs Baghdad kick off?
Kick-off time is shown at the top of this prediction page. All times may vary by timezone — check your local bookmaker or broadcaster for the exact schedule.
⚠️
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