Football Predicions Today

Football Predicions Today


Mon, May 12, 2025

No predictions available for this date.

Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Ajax vs Bochum Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 71.7% over the last 90 days (46 tips graded). In Club Friendly, our record stands at 62.5% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
71.7% on Over 1.5 90% probability 62.5% in Club Friendly
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 33 wins from 46 settled tips (71.7%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 73.9%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Charlestown Azzurri vs Weston Bears Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 69.4% over the last 90 days (72 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
69.4% on Over 2.5 80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 50 wins from 72 settled tips (69.4%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 73.9%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Patro Eisden vs St Truiden Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 69.4% over the last 90 days (72 tips graded). In Club Friendly, our record stands at 62.5% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
69.4% on Over 2.5 80% probability 62.5% in Club Friendly
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 50 wins from 72 settled tips (69.4%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 73.9%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Lyon vs Servette Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 69.4% over the last 90 days (72 tips graded). In Club Friendly, our record stands at 62.5% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
69.4% on Over 2.5 80% probability 62.5% in Club Friendly
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 50 wins from 72 settled tips (69.4%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 73.9%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Ordabasy vs Altai 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 73.9% over the last 90 days (280 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
73.9% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 207 wins from 280 settled tips (73.9%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 73.9%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Univ Craiova vs ML Vitebsk 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 73.9% over the last 90 days (280 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
73.9% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 207 wins from 280 settled tips (73.9%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 73.9%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Breidablik W vs Vikingur Reykjavik W 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 73.9% over the last 90 days (280 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
73.9% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 207 wins from 280 settled tips (73.9%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 73.9%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Today's Tips Ranked
Wed 15 Jul 2026 • by win probability
High Conf.
Ajax vs Bochum
Over 1.5 Club Friendly 4:00 pm
90%
prob
High Conf.
Charlestown Azzurri vs Weston Bears
Over 2.5 Australia NPL Northern NSW 11:00 am
80%
prob
High Conf.
Patro Eisden vs St Truiden
Over 2.5 Club Friendly 5:30 pm
80%
prob
High Conf.
Lyon vs Servette
Over 2.5 Club Friendly 5:30 pm
80%
prob
Solid Pick
Ordabasy vs Altai
1 Kazakhstan Cup 4:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Univ Craiova vs ML Vitebsk
1 UCL Qualifiers 6:30 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Breidablik W vs Vikingur Reykjavik W
1 Iceland Besta deild Women 8:15 pm
50%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Wednesday • site avg 73.9% • evidence-based
Ajax vs Bochum
Over 1.5 Club Friendly 4:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 77/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (71.7%). No significant deviation either way. Club Friendly has been a difficult competition in the historical record (62.5%). Factor this into your assessment.
Charlestown Azzurri vs Weston Bears
Over 2.5 Australia NPL Northern NSW 11:00 am
Strong case
Score: 75/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (69.4%). No significant deviation either way.
Patro Eisden vs St Truiden
Over 2.5 Club Friendly 5:30 pm
Supported
Score: 73/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (69.4%). No significant deviation either way. Club Friendly has been a difficult competition in the historical record (62.5%). Factor this into your assessment.
Lyon vs Servette
Over 2.5 Club Friendly 5:30 pm
Supported
Score: 73/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (69.4%). No significant deviation either way. Club Friendly has been a difficult competition in the historical record (62.5%). Factor this into your assessment.
Ordabasy vs Altai
1 Kazakhstan Cup 4:00 pm
Supported
Score: 66/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (73.9%). No significant deviation either way.
Univ Craiova vs ML Vitebsk
1 UCL Qualifiers 6:30 pm
Supported
Score: 66/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (73.9%). No significant deviation either way.
Breidablik W vs Vikingur Reykjavik W
1 Iceland Besta deild Women 8:15 pm
Supported
Score: 66/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (73.9%). No significant deviation either way.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.



Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 142 settled tips
73.9%
Excellent
Won (105) 73.9%
Lost (37) 26.1%
105W
37L
105
Won
37
Lost
142
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

30-Day Betting Yield (ROI)
-4.8%
Rolling Yield
-6.81 U
Profit (Flat 1U)

Data Processing Transparency
What our model analyzed today
Data Points
12,000+
Matches Scanned
140+
Active Tips
713

* Our proprietary E-A-T system evaluates team chemistry indexes, xG (Expected Goals) differentials, historical referee metrics, and live odds variance before outputting a confidence probability.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
60%
Accuracy
18
Won
12
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
13 Jul 2026Ningbo Professional vs Foshan Nanshi
China League One
1X✓ Won
13 Jul 2026Barra FC U20 vs Carlos Renaux U20
Brazil Catarinense U20
1✓ Won
13 Jul 2026San Lorenzo W vs San Luis W
Argentina Primera Women
1✓ Won
13 Jul 2026Honka vs HJS
Finland Kakkonen B
1✓ Won
13 Jul 2026Dep Capiata vs Atl Tembetary
Paraguay Division Intermedia
Over 1.5✓ Won
13 Jul 2026Gimnasia L.P. W vs Huracan W
Argentina Primera Women
1X✓ Won
13 Jul 2026River Plate W vs Social Atletico Television W
Argentina Primera Women
1X✓ Won
11 Jul 2026Chengdu Rongcheng vs Chongqing Tonglianglong
China Super League
1✗ Lost
11 Jul 2026Norway vs England
2026 World Cup
Over 1.5✓ Won
11 Jul 2026Gnistan vs Mariehamn
Finland Veikkausliiga
1✓ Won

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

1 avg 73.6% • range ±1.1%
Steady
73.5%
0-30d
74.7%
30-60d
72.5%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 2.5 avg 70% • range ±1.2%
Steady
69.6%
0-30d
69%
30-60d
71.4%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 1.5 avg 71% • range ±5.6%
Steady
68.4%
0-30d
77.8%
30-60d
66.7%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

2 avg 79.6% • range ±7.4%
Variable
80%
0-30d
72%
30-60d
86.7%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

1X avg 82.5% • range ±7.5%
Variable
90%
0-30d
82.4%
30-60d
75%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 280 tips
Accuracy 73.9%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 207W / 73L
2
Over 2.5
Volume 72 tips
Accuracy 69.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 50W / 22L
3
2
Volume 60 tips
Accuracy 78.3%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 47W / 13L
4
Over 1.5
Volume 46 tips
Accuracy 71.7%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 33W / 13L
5
1X
Volume 39 tips
Accuracy 82.1%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 32W / 7L
6
X2
Volume 6 tips
Accuracy 83.3%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 5W / 1L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Performance by Market
1X Top market
9W / 1L • 10 tips
90%
2 Top market
16W / 4L • 20 tips
80%
1 Top market
50W / 18L • 68 tips
73.5%
Over 2.5 Solid
16W / 7L • 23 tips
69.6%
Over 1.5 Solid
13W / 6L • 19 tips
68.4%
X2 Average
1W / 1L • 2 tips
50%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Argentina Primera Women
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
+0pp
Finland Veikkausliiga
0%baseline 80%100%
80%
recent
+0pp
World Cup 2026
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
+0pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 62.5%100%
50%
recent
-12.5pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 78% 85% 84% 70% 62% 73% 65% 74%
1X 83% 100% 71% 100% 71% 80% 85%
2 69% 82% 83% 78% 67% 75% 80% 76%
BTTS
Over 1.5 88% 70% 58% 72% 80% 100% 73%
Over 2.5 85% 67% 67% 75% 58% 73% 100% 72%
X2 67% 83%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

73.9%
30-day win rate
142 verified tips
64.7%
7-Day Rate
105
Tips Won
37
Tips Lost
142
Settled
Full Results →


See More Free Predictions


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