🏆 ✓ TIP WON Pogradeci 3-0 Kastrioti
⚡ Today's Best Picks for this Match
🎯 150% 📊 Over 2.5 Goals70% 📊 Over 1.5 Goals85%
🏆 Albanian Abissnet Superiore 📅 Thursday, 7th May 2026
P
Pogradeci
L D L W W
3-0
FT
K
Kastrioti
W L L L L
Expert Prediction
Prediction Model
1
Backing Pogradeci to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.36
decimal
Confidence
50%
Solid Pick
H 50% D 30% A 20%
📈 Value Edge
-24%
Negative Edge
Our model gives this a 50% probability, while the current odds imply 74%. Bookmakers are pricing this higher than our model.
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⚡ Supporting Bets
Main pick
1 — Pogradeci to win
@1.36
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals85%
⚔️ Head to Head
4
Pogradeci
2
Draws
4
Kastrioti
Against Pogradeci won 4 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊 Team Statistics
Pogradeci Kastrioti
2.4 Goals / Game 1.4
1.1 Conceded / Game 2.3
30% Clean Sheets 0%
6-2-2 W-D-L 2-0-8
Win Rate Comparison
60% 20%
📈 Form Ratings
Pogradeci
Overall
6.6
Scoring
8.0
Defence
6.3
Kastrioti
Overall
2.0
Scoring
4.7
Defence
2.3
🔀 Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 37%
Home Win & BTTS No 30%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 47%
Home Win & Under 2.5 20%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 15%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
📜 Match History
Head to Head
04.04.26KP
Pogradeci
5
Kastrioti
1
24.01.26KP
Kastrioti
2
Pogradeci
4
25.10.25KP
Pogradeci
4
Kastrioti
0
23.02.25KP
Kastrioti
0
Pogradeci
0
09.11.24KP
Kastrioti
2
Pogradeci
0
24.08.24KP
Pogradeci
3
Kastrioti
1
12.02.12SL
Pogradeci
1
Kastrioti
1
12.09.11SL
Kastrioti
4
Pogradeci
0
04.02.09KP
Kastrioti
1
Pogradeci
0
31.08.08KP
Pogradeci
0
Kastrioti
1
Recent Results
Pogradeci
03.05.26KP
AF Luftetari
3
Pogradeci
0
L
25.04.26KP
Pogradeci
1
Skenderbeu
1
D
19.04.26KP
Laci
2
Pogradeci
0
L
11.04.26KP
Pogradeci
5
Kukesi
1
W
04.04.26KP
Pogradeci
5
Kastrioti
1
W
28.03.26CF
Struga
0
Pogradeci
0
D
22.03.26KP
Burreli
0
Pogradeci
3
W
18.03.26KP
Pogradeci
3
Iliria Fushe-Kruje
0
W
14.03.26KP
Besa Kavaje
2
Pogradeci
3
W
07.03.26KP
Pogradeci
4
Korabi Peshkopi
1
W
Kastrioti
03.05.26KP
Lushnja
1
Kastrioti
4
W
25.04.26KP
Kastrioti
1
AF Luftetari
2
L
19.04.26KP
Skenderbeu
4
Kastrioti
0
L
11.04.26KP
Kastrioti
1
Laci
2
L
04.04.26KP
Pogradeci
5
Kastrioti
1
L
22.03.26KP
Kastrioti
0
Kukesi
2
L
18.03.26KP
Kastrioti
5
Burreli
2
W
14.03.26KP
Iliria Fushe-Kruje
1
Kastrioti
0
L
07.03.26KP
Kastrioti
2
Besa Kavaje
3
L
28.02.26KP
Korabi Peshkopi
1
Kastrioti
0
L
📝 Tactical Analysis

On Thursday, 7th May 2026, Pogradeci host Kastrioti in Albanian Abissnet Superiore. Our analysis points to Pogradeci to win as the standout bet.

Pogradeci come into this showing mixed form, with 6W 2D 2L from 10 matches.

Kastrioti are struggling away — 2W 0D 8L in 10 games.

H2H: Pogradeci won 4 of 10 meetings vs Kastrioti's 4, 2 draws. BTTS in 40%.

With all factors considered, pogradeci to win at 1.36 represents the strongest value angle here.


Finding highly profitable betting chances means you have to sit down and crunch the numbers, and this Albanian Abissnet Superiore fixture provides a fantastic opening for smart money. The secret to winning is to detach emotionally and focus entirely on the stats that actually matter. The hosts’ current profile is our first stop on the breakdown.

Their general form anchors the market, but the immediate form guide is where the real betting value lives. Breaking down their recent performances highlights their exact threat level and the defensive gaps they are showing today. The visitors offer their own statistical puzzle to solve.

It is essential to compare their extended form with the immediate spark shown in their last few games to establish if they are undervalued by the oddsmakers right now. Past head-to-heads provide another crucial layer of betting insight. The historical data frequently highlights recurring setups or psychological edges that disrupt standard pricing.

Merging these historical facts with current form generates a highly dependable pick that you can trust. After assessing the board, the prime bet really stands out. Our primary choice is 1, which is the smartest play available, perfectly aligned with the current @1.36 odds.

With the match about to kick off, the analysis is locked in. The final score will serve as the ultimate judge of our statistical read. Use our other daily tips to build your slips.

❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the best betting tip for Pogradeci vs Kastrioti?
Our pick is 1 — Pogradeci to win at odds of ~1.36. Our prediction engine gives this a 50% confidence rating.
How has Pogradeci performed in their recent matches?
Pogradeci heads into this fixture with a record of 6W 2D 2L from their last 10 games.
What is the recent form of Kastrioti?
Kastrioti has recorded 2W 0D 8L across their last 10 matches.
What is the Head-to-Head (H2H) record between Pogradeci and Kastrioti?
In their last 10 meetings, Pogradeci has won 4 times, Kastrioti has won 4 times, and there have been 2 draws.
Are we expecting a high-scoring match (Over/Under 2.5 Goals)?
Recent matches involving these teams average 3.6 goals per game. Furthermore, BTTS has landed in 40% of their previous H2H encounters.
Is there value in the odds for this prediction?
At 50% confidence, the odds are fairly priced. Consider it as part of an accumulator rather than a standalone.
What time does Pogradeci vs Kastrioti kick off?
Kick-off time is shown at the top of this prediction page. All times may vary by timezone — check your local bookmaker or broadcaster for the exact schedule.
⚠️
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