Surest Prediction Site

Surest Prediction Site


Sat, Apr 19, 2025

No predictions available for this date.

Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Dinamo Zagreb vs Koper Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 72.3% over the last 90 days (65 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
72.3% on Over 2.5 90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 47 wins from 65 settled tips (72.3%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 77.3%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Heracles vs Groningen Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 72.3% over the last 90 days (65 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
72.3% on Over 2.5 90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 47 wins from 65 settled tips (72.3%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 77.3%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Aarhus Fremad vs Silkeborg Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 72.3% over the last 90 days (65 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
72.3% on Over 2.5 90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 47 wins from 65 settled tips (72.3%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 77.3%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Spain U19 vs Croatia U19 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 60% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 74.1% over the last 90 days (290 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
74.1% on 1 60% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 215 wins from 290 settled tips (74.1%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 77.3%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
FAR Rabat vs Stade Marocain 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 60% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 74.1% over the last 90 days (290 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
74.1% on 1 60% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 215 wins from 290 settled tips (74.1%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 77.3%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Kairat Almaty vs Sutjeska 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 74.1% over the last 90 days (290 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
74.1% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 215 wins from 290 settled tips (74.1%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 77.3%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Cleveland Force vs Steel City 2
Our model assigns a win probability of 20% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 77.6% over the last 90 days (67 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.6% on 2 20% probability
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 52 wins from 67 settled tips (77.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.3%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Today's Tips Ranked
Wed 8 Jul 2026 • by win probability
High Conf.
Dinamo Zagreb vs Koper
Over 2.5 Club Friendly 7:00 pm
90%
prob
High Conf.
Heracles vs Groningen
Over 2.5 Club Friendly 6:00 pm
90%
prob
High Conf.
Aarhus Fremad vs Silkeborg
Over 2.5 Club Friendly 11:00 am
90%
prob
Solid Pick
Spain U19 vs Croatia U19
1 Euro U19 4:30 pm
60%
prob
Solid Pick
FAR Rabat vs Stade Marocain
1 Morocco Coupe Du Trone 8:00 pm
60%
prob
Solid Pick
Kairat Almaty vs Sutjeska
1 UCL Qualifiers 4:00 pm
50%
prob
Speculative
Cleveland Force vs Steel City
2 USA USL League Two 11:00 pm
20%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Wednesday • site avg 77.3% • evidence-based
Dinamo Zagreb vs Koper
Over 2.5 Club Friendly 7:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 80/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (72.3%). No significant deviation either way.
Heracles vs Groningen
Over 2.5 Club Friendly 6:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 80/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (72.3%). No significant deviation either way.
Aarhus Fremad vs Silkeborg
Over 2.5 Club Friendly 11:00 am
Strong case
Score: 80/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (72.3%). No significant deviation either way.
Spain U19 vs Croatia U19
1 Euro U19 4:30 pm
Supported
Score: 70/100
At 60%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (74.1%). No significant deviation either way.
FAR Rabat vs Stade Marocain
1 Morocco Coupe Du Trone 8:00 pm
Supported
Score: 70/100
At 60%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (74.1%). No significant deviation either way.
Kairat Almaty vs Sutjeska
1 UCL Qualifiers 4:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (74.1%). No significant deviation either way.
Cleveland Force vs Steel City
2 USA USL League Two 11:00 pm
Marginal
Score: 57/100
A stated probability of 20% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (77.6%). No significant deviation either way.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.



Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 150 settled tips
77.3%
Excellent
Won (116) 77.3%
Lost (34) 22.7%
116W
34L
116
Won
34
Lost
150
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

30-Day Betting Yield (ROI)
-0.37%
Rolling Yield
-0.55 U
Profit (Flat 1U)

Data Processing Transparency
What our model analyzed today
Data Points
12,000+
Matches Scanned
140+
Active Tips
671

* Our proprietary E-A-T system evaluates team chemistry indexes, xG (Expected Goals) differentials, historical referee metrics, and live odds variance before outputting a confidence probability.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
76.7%
Accuracy
23
Won
7
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
4 Jul 2026Sandur vs HB Torshavn 2
Faroe Islands 1. Deild
1✗ Lost
4 Jul 2026San Lorenzo W vs Independiente W
Argentina Primera Women
1✓ Won
4 Jul 2026Racing Club W vs Huracan W
Argentina Primera Women
1✓ Won
4 Jul 2026Spain U19 vs Germany U19
Euro U19
Over 1.5✓ Won
4 Jul 2026Qingdao West Coast vs Shanghai Port
China Super League
Over 1.5✓ Won
4 Jul 2026RFS vs Auda
Latvia Virsliga
1✗ Lost
4 Jul 2026VPS vs Mariehamn
Finland Veikkausliiga
1✓ Won
2 Jul 2026Vikingur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri
Iceland Besta deild karla
1✓ Won
2 Jul 2026Tartu Welco vs Viimsi
Estonia Esiliiga
Over 2.5✓ Won
2 Jul 2026Atletico FC vs El Nacional
Ecuador Serie B
1✓ Won

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

1 avg 75.4% • range ±3.3%
Steady
79.5%
0-30d
73.9%
30-60d
72.9%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

1X avg 76.1% • range ±6.1%
Variable
77.8%
0-30d
81.3%
30-60d
69.2%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

2 avg 78.4% • range ±6.3%
Variable
73.9%
0-30d
75%
30-60d
86.4%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Over 1.5 avg 68.9% • range ±8.4%
Variable
63.2%
0-30d
80%
30-60d
63.6%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Over 2.5 avg 74.6% • range ±11.4%
Variable
89.5%
0-30d
67.7%
30-60d
66.7%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 290 tips
Accuracy 74.1%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 215W / 75L
2
2
Volume 67 tips
Accuracy 77.6%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 52W / 15L
3
Over 2.5
Volume 65 tips
Accuracy 72.3%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 47W / 18L
4
Over 1.5
Volume 44 tips
Accuracy 70.5%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 31W / 13L
5
1X
Volume 37 tips
Accuracy 78.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 29W / 8L
6
X2
Volume 6 tips
Accuracy 83.3%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 5W / 1L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Performance by Market
Over 2.5 Top market
17W / 2L • 19 tips
89.5%
1 Top market
62W / 16L • 78 tips
79.5%
1X Top market
7W / 2L • 9 tips
77.8%
2 Top market
17W / 6L • 23 tips
73.9%
Over 1.5 Solid
12W / 7L • 19 tips
63.2%
X2 Average
1W / 1L • 2 tips
50%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
World Cup 2026
0%baseline 94.1%100%
100%
recent
+5.9pp
Brasileiro U20
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
+0pp
Euro WCQ Women
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
+0pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 76% 84% 83% 71% 65% 75% 65% 75%
1X 78% 100% 71% 100% 67% 80% 83%
2 69% 82% 82% 78% 63% 75% 80% 76%
BTTS
Over 1.5 86% 70% 58% 75% 80% 100% 73%
Over 2.5 85% 63% 67% 80% 78% 70% 100% 74%
X2 67% 83%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

77.3%
30-day win rate
150 verified tips
75%
7-Day Rate
116
Tips Won
34
Tips Lost
150
Settled
Full Results →


See More Free Predictions


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18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.