Surest Prediction Site

Surest Prediction Site


Sat, May 3, 2025

No predictions available for this date.

Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Monaro Panthers vs Queanbeyan City 1X
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, 1X tips have settled at 78.4% over the last 90 days (37 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.4% on 1X 90% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1X tips have returned 29 wins from 37 settled tips (78.4%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.3%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Hvidovre vs F Amager Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 71.2% over the last 90 days (66 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
71.2% on Over 2.5 90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 47 wins from 66 settled tips (71.2%). This is below our site-wide average of 77.3%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Charlestown Azzurri vs Westoin Bears Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 71.2% over the last 90 days (66 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
71.2% on Over 2.5 90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 47 wins from 66 settled tips (71.2%). This is below our site-wide average of 77.3%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Spain U19 W vs Sweden U19 W 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 74.3% over the last 90 days (296 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
74.3% on 1 80% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 220 wins from 296 settled tips (74.3%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 77.3%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Legia vs Beer Sheva Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 71.2% over the last 90 days (66 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
71.2% on Over 2.5 80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 47 wins from 66 settled tips (71.2%). This is below our site-wide average of 77.3%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Argentina vs Egypt 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 60% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 74.3% over the last 90 days (296 tips graded). In World Cup 2026, our record stands at 94.1% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
74.3% on 1 60% probability 94.1% in World Cup 2026
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 220 wins from 296 settled tips (74.3%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 77.3%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
UNA Strassen vs La Florita 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 74.3% over the last 90 days (296 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
74.3% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 220 wins from 296 settled tips (74.3%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 77.3%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Today's Tips Ranked
Tue 7 Jul 2026 • by win probability
High Conf.
Monaro Panthers vs Queanbeyan City
1X Australia NPL ACT 10:30 am
90%
prob
High Conf.
Hvidovre vs F Amager
Over 2.5 Club Friendly 11:00 am
90%
prob
High Conf.
Charlestown Azzurri vs Westoin Bears
Over 2.5 Australia NPL Northern NSW 11:00 am
90%
prob
High Conf.
Spain U19 W vs Sweden U19 W
1 Euro U19 Women 3:00 pm
80%
prob
High Conf.
Legia vs Beer Sheva
Over 2.5 Club Friendly 1:00 pm
80%
prob
Solid Pick
Argentina vs Egypt
1 World Cup 2026 5:00 pm
60%
prob
Solid Pick
UNA Strassen vs La Florita
1 Conference League Qualifier 6:15 pm
50%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Tuesday • site avg 77.3% • evidence-based
Monaro Panthers vs Queanbeyan City
1X Australia NPL ACT 10:30 am
Strong case
Score: 82/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. 1X is running in line with the site average (78.4%). No significant deviation either way.
Hvidovre vs F Amager
Over 2.5 Club Friendly 11:00 am
Strong case
Score: 80/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (71.2%). No significant deviation either way.
Charlestown Azzurri vs Westoin Bears
Over 2.5 Australia NPL Northern NSW 11:00 am
Strong case
Score: 80/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (71.2%). No significant deviation either way.
Spain U19 W vs Sweden U19 W
1 Euro U19 Women 3:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 78/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. 1 is running in line with the site average (74.3%). No significant deviation either way.
Legia vs Beer Sheva
Over 2.5 Club Friendly 1:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 77/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (71.2%). No significant deviation either way.
Argentina vs Egypt
1 World Cup 2026 5:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 74/100
At 60%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (74.3%). No significant deviation either way. World Cup 2026 is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (94.1%). Provides additional support for this tip.
UNA Strassen vs La Florita
1 Conference League Qualifier 6:15 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (74.3%). No significant deviation either way.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.



Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 150 settled tips
77.3%
Excellent
Won (116) 77.3%
Lost (34) 22.7%
116W
34L
116
Won
34
Lost
150
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

30-Day Betting Yield (ROI)
-0.37%
Rolling Yield
-0.55 U
Profit (Flat 1U)

Data Processing Transparency
What our model analyzed today
Data Points
12,000+
Matches Scanned
140+
Active Tips
664

* Our proprietary E-A-T system evaluates team chemistry indexes, xG (Expected Goals) differentials, historical referee metrics, and live odds variance before outputting a confidence probability.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
76.7%
Accuracy
23
Won
7
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
4 Jul 2026Sandur vs HB Torshavn 2
Faroe Islands 1. Deild
1✗ Lost
4 Jul 2026San Lorenzo W vs Independiente W
Argentina Primera Women
1✓ Won
4 Jul 2026Racing Club W vs Huracan W
Argentina Primera Women
1✓ Won
4 Jul 2026Spain U19 vs Germany U19
Euro U19
Over 1.5✓ Won
4 Jul 2026Qingdao West Coast vs Shanghai Port
China Super League
Over 1.5✓ Won
4 Jul 2026RFS vs Auda
Latvia Virsliga
1✗ Lost
4 Jul 2026VPS vs Mariehamn
Finland Veikkausliiga
1✓ Won
2 Jul 2026Vikingur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri
Iceland Besta deild karla
1✓ Won
2 Jul 2026Tartu Welco vs Viimsi
Estonia Esiliiga
Over 2.5✓ Won
2 Jul 2026Atletico FC vs El Nacional
Ecuador Serie B
1✓ Won

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

1 avg 73.8% • range ±4.7%
Steady
79.5%
0-30d
70.1%
30-60d
71.9%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

2 avg 78.1% • range ±6.3%
Variable
73.9%
0-30d
73.9%
30-60d
86.4%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

1X avg 77.9% • range ±8.8%
Variable
77.8%
0-30d
86.7%
30-60d
69.2%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Over 1.5 avg 70.8% • range ±11.3%
Variable
63.2%
0-30d
85.7%
30-60d
63.6%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Over 2.5 avg 72.7% • range ±13.2%
Volatile
89.5%
0-30d
65.5%
30-60d
63.2%
60-90d

Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 296 tips
Accuracy 74.3%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 220W / 76L
2
2
Volume 68 tips
Accuracy 77.9%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 53W / 15L
3
Over 2.5
Volume 66 tips
Accuracy 71.2%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 47W / 19L
4
Over 1.5
Volume 44 tips
Accuracy 70.5%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 31W / 13L
5
1X
Volume 37 tips
Accuracy 78.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 29W / 8L
6
X2
Volume 6 tips
Accuracy 83.3%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 5W / 1L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Performance by Market
Over 2.5 Top market
17W / 2L • 19 tips
89.5%
1 Top market
62W / 16L • 78 tips
79.5%
1X Top market
7W / 2L • 9 tips
77.8%
2 Top market
17W / 6L • 23 tips
73.9%
Over 1.5 Solid
12W / 7L • 19 tips
63.2%
X2 Average
1W / 1L • 2 tips
50%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
World Cup 2026
0%baseline 94.1%100%
100%
recent
+5.9pp
Brasileiro U20
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
+0pp
Euro WCQ Women
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
+0pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 76% 84% 83% 71% 65% 75% 65% 75%
1X 78% 100% 71% 100% 67% 80% 83%
2 69% 82% 82% 78% 63% 75% 80% 76%
BTTS
Over 1.5 86% 70% 58% 75% 80% 100% 73%
Over 2.5 85% 63% 67% 80% 78% 70% 100% 74%
X2 67% 83%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

77.3%
30-day win rate
150 verified tips
74.1%
7-Day Rate
116
Tips Won
34
Tips Lost
150
Settled
Full Results →


See More Free Predictions


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The Efforts Behind Every Prediction

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18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.