Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 70.5% over the last 90 days (44 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
70.5% on Over 1.590% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 31 wins from 44 settled tips (70.5%). This is below our site-wide average of 78.4%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Qingdao West Coast vs Shanghai PortOver 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 70.5% over the last 90 days (44 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
70.5% on Over 1.590% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 31 wins from 44 settled tips (70.5%). This is below our site-wide average of 78.4%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Racing Club W vs Huracan W1
Our model assigns a win probability of 60% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 74.2% over the last 90 days (306 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
74.2% on 160% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 227 wins from 306 settled tips (74.2%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 78.4%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
VPS vs Mariehamn1
Our model assigns a win probability of 60% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 74.2% over the last 90 days (306 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
74.2% on 160% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 227 wins from 306 settled tips (74.2%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 78.4%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Sandur vs HB Torshavn 21
Our model assigns a win probability of 60% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 74.2% over the last 90 days (306 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
74.2% on 160% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 227 wins from 306 settled tips (74.2%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 78.4%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
RFS vs Auda1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 74.2% over the last 90 days (306 tips graded). In Latvia Virsliga, our record stands at 77.8% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
74.2% on 150% probability77.8% in Latvia Virsliga
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 227 wins from 306 settled tips (74.2%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 78.4%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
San Lorenzo W vs Independiente W1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 74.2% over the last 90 days (306 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
74.2% on 150% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 227 wins from 306 settled tips (74.2%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 78.4%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 has tracked below the site-wide average over 90 days (70.5%). This reduces the overall confidence rating.
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 has tracked below the site-wide average over 90 days (70.5%). This reduces the overall confidence rating.
At 60%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (74.2%). No significant deviation either way.
At 60%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (74.2%). No significant deviation either way.
At 60%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (74.2%). No significant deviation either way.
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (74.2%). No significant deviation either way.
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (74.2%). No significant deviation either way.
Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.
* Our proprietary E-A-T system evaluates team chemistry indexes, xG (Expected Goals) differentials, historical referee metrics, and live odds variance before outputting a confidence probability.
All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.
Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first
A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.
1avg 75.5% • range ±4.9%
Steady
81.5%0-30d
73.1%30-60d
71.8%60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
2avg 77.8% • range ±6%
Steady
78.6%0-30d
71.4%30-60d
83.3%60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
1Xavg 78.6% • range ±8.8%
Variable
80%0-30d
86.7%30-60d
69.2%60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
Over 1.5avg 73.5% • range ±9%
Variable
66.7%0-30d
84.6%30-60d
69.2%60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
Over 2.5avg 68.1% • range ±13.6%
Volatile
80%0-30d
71.4%30-60d
52.9%60-90d
Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.
Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).
Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days
Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.
1
1
Volume306 tips
Accuracy74.2%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG227W / 79L
2
2
Volume71 tips
Accuracy77.5%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG55W / 16L
3
Over 2.5
Volume67 tips
Accuracy70.1%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG47W / 20L
4
Over 1.5
Volume44 tips
Accuracy70.5%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG31W / 13L
5
1X
Volume38 tips
Accuracy78.9%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG30W / 8L
6
X2
Volume6 tips
Accuracy83.3%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
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